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Do You Need 20% Down? Most First-Time Buyers Pay Less
If you’ve been waiting to buy a home because you think you need a 20% down payment, you’re not alone. According to Google Trends, searches for house down payment information recently reached a new high, which shows just how many buyers are trying to understand what it really takes to get started.
The good news is that 20% down can be helpful, but it usually isn’t required. For many first-time homebuyers, the path to homeownership starts with a smaller down payment, the right loan program, and possibly even down payment assistance.
The 20% Down Payment Homebuying Myth
The idea that you must put 20% down to buy a home is one of the most common misconceptions in real estate. It’s easy to see why the myth sticks. A larger down payment can lower your monthly mortgage payment, reduce the amount you finance, and in some cases help you avoid private mortgage insurance.
But that doesn’t mean 20% is the minimum needed to buy a home.
Unless your lender specifically requires it, you may have options that call for far less money upfront. As The Mortgage Reports explains:
“The amount you need to put down will depend on a variety of factors, including the loan type and your financial goals. If you don’t have a large down payment saved up, don’t worry—there are plenty of options available, and you don’t need to put down the traditional 20% . . . many homebuyers are able to secure a home with as little as 3% or even no down payment at all . . .”
For instance, FHA loans allow down payments as low as 3.5%. VA loans and USDA loans may offer zero down payment options for qualified buyers, including eligible Veterans and buyers purchasing in qualifying areas.
Saving for 20% can take longer than many buyers expect. If you’re delaying your plans only because you believe 20% down is a hard requirement, you may be waiting extra long to buy.
What First-Time Homebuyers Are Actually Putting Down
But if most first-time buyers aren’t putting down 20%, what are they putting down?
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median down payment for first-time homebuyers is 10%. That’s half of the 20% many people assume they need.
This doesn’t mean 10% is the right amount for every buyer. Your ideal down payment depends on your credit, income, loan type, home price, monthly payment goals, and how much cash you want to keep available after closing.
But it does show that first-time buyers are finding ways to purchase without waiting until they have 20% saved. And for some buyers, the number may be even lower depending on the loan program they use.
Down Payment Assistance Could Help You Buy Sooner
There’s another reason the 20% myth can hold buyers back: many people don’t realize how much help may be available.
Down payment assistance programs are designed to help qualified buyers cover part of their upfront costs. These programs may come in the form of grants, forgivable loans, low- or no-interest second loans, tax credits, or other forms of support. Eligibility can vary based on income, location, property type, profession, or whether you complete a homebuyer education course.
Research from Realtor.com found almost 80% of first-time homebuyers qualify for down payment assistance (DPA), but only 13% take advantage.
That gap is important. It means many would-be buyers may be leaving valuable assistance on the table simply because they don’t know what programs exist or how to apply.
In the U.S., there are more than 2,600 homeownership programs available, and many provide meaningful financial support. As Down Payment Resource explains:
“With an average benefit of $18,000, down payment assistance (DPA) remains one of the most essential tools for addressing the nation’s affordability challenges. Programs continue to expand in scope, serving a broader range of incomes, property types and borrower needs, including first-generation, military and repeat buyers.”
For some buyers, that kind of assistance could make a major difference. It may help cover part of the down payment, reduce closing costs, or make it easier to keep emergency savings intact after the purchase. In some cases, buyers may even be able to combine multiple programs for additional support.
The Bottom Line: Explore Your Options
Most first-time homebuyers do not put 20% down, and you may not need to either. While saving is important, the real question is whether you know which loan programs and assistance options fit your situation.
Before you rule out buying, connect with a trusted lender and a knowledgeable real estate professional. They can help you understand what you really need to save, what programs you may qualify for, and whether homeownership could be closer than you think.
3 Things That Aren’t Going To Happen in Today’s Housing Market
There’s no shortage of uncertainty in today’s housing market, and that’s naturally fueling a lot of dramatic headlines. And if you’re trying to buy a home, that kind of noise can make your decision feel a lot more complicated.
In fact, a recent CNBC study asked homebuyers what they’re most concerned about, and the same three topics kept rising to the top:
- Mortgage rates
- The number of homes for sale
- Home prices
The challenge is that much of what people are hearing about these topics is driven by misconceptions, not facts. Let’s separate the headlines from what the data is really showing.
Misconception #1: “I Should Wait Because Mortgage Rates Are Going To Fall Dramatically”
One of the most common ideas circulating on social media is that mortgage rates are about to drop sharply, so waiting to buy is the smarter move.
But is that what experts are expecting?
While mortgage rates have eased a little in recent weeks, forecasts still aren’t predicting any major declines. It’s more likely that rates will stay in the low 6% range this year.
And that’s not a remarkable shift from the rates we’re seeing today:
Obviously, a lot depends on inflation and the broader economy. But based on what we know right now, waiting for a big drop in mortgage rates may not play out the way many buyers hope. As U.S. News explains:
“Mortgage rates aren’t expected to change much over the next several quarters . . .”
And even with rates where they are today, buying a home is already more affordable than it was a year ago. Even if rates don’t drop in the near future, home affordability is better now than a year ago.
Misconception #2: “There Are Too Many Homes for Sale”
You may have heard that housing inventory is rising. Nationally, that’s true: the number of homes for sale is 8% higher than it was at this time last year. But that’s not bad news. In lots of markets, it’s easing the pressure on buyers.
The problem is that some headlines make good news sound like bad news. They focus on the fact that inventory is at its highest level since 2019 or highlight how many new homes builders are adding. That can make it sound like supply is growing too much, too fast.
But the bigger picture tells a different story.
According to new Realtor.com data, even though inventory is up over last year, it’s still nearly 14% lower than it was in the last normal housing market from 2017 to 2019:
And while local conditions vary, only 9 states have more inventory now than they did before the pandemic. That’s a major reason there aren’t enough homes for sale to trigger anything like the 2008 housing crash.
Misconception #3: “Home Prices Are About To Crash”
This is another common headline you’ve probably seen. This misconception comes from the fact that a few metros are actually seeing small price declines. Influencers are pointing to this to claim home prices are crashing. But this is absolutely not true nationally.
In most markets, home prices are still rising, not falling. Here’s why:
- Many homeowners are choosing not to sell to avoid giving up the low mortgage rate they locked in a few years ago. That continues to limit how much inventory can grow.
- Inventory remains below pre-pandemic norms. There still aren’t enough homes for sale to cause a widespread price crash.
- Even in markets with more listings, some sellers are pulling their homes off the market instead of making major price cuts.
Those are three big reasons home prices are not on track for a crash.
And even in the areas seeing small price declines, those drops are nowhere near enough to erase the huge gains most homeowners have built over the past five years:
These drops don’t signal a crash. They show the market settling after a few years of record-breaking spikes in prices.
Bottom Line: Get the Facts on Your Market
The discussions we see online can often exaggerate the negative and ignore the positive, especially in housing. If you want a clearer, truer idea of what’s happening with mortgage rates, housing inventory, and home prices in your market, talk to a trusted real estate professional.
Connect with a local real estate agent so you have an expert who can give you the real story on your local housing market.
Top 10 Best Housing Markets for First-Time Home Buyers This Spring
For many hopeful buyers, purchasing a first home has lately felt less like a goal and more like a long shot.
Not because you weren’t financially responsible. Not because you weren’t ready to make a move. But because, every time you checked the numbers, homeownership still didn’t feel realistic.
That’s why so many first-time buyers have put their plans on hold.
Now, after years of watching from the sidelines, this spring may finally bring new opportunities. Especially in certain housing markets where affordability and inventory are starting to improve.
The 10 Best Markets for First-Time Buyers
Zillow recently released its list of the top 50 metro areas for first-time home buyers this spring, and the top 10 housing markets stand out for good reason.
Here are Zillow’s top 10 best markets for new buyers in 2026:
- Jacksonville, FL
- Birmingham, AL
- San Antonio, TX
- Atlanta, GA
- Houston, TX
- St. Louis, MO
- Detroit, MI
- Raleigh, NC
- Baltimore, MD
- Louisville, KY
In these higher-ranked metros, Zillow says median-income households can afford 68% of all homes currently for sale.
This is a major shift, and one that could give buyers real options in some areas.
Not long ago, many buyers felt lucky to find even a few homes within reach. Today, in some markets, there are finally more realistic options for first-time buyers trying to break into the market.
What Makes These Housing Markets Stand Out?
These markets aren’t becoming more favorable for any single reason. Rather, several smaller trends are beginning to work together.
As Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, explains:
“First-time buyers are finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. Affordability is still a challenge, but rising incomes, stabilizing prices and improving inventory are creating real opportunities in parts of the country. In the strongest markets for first-time buyers, they’ll find more choices, less competition and a clearer path to homeownership than they’ve had in years.”
That shift comes down to three key factors:
1. More Homes Are Coming to Market
According to Realtor.com, housing inventory is up 8.1% compared to last year.
More homes for sale means buyers have more choices. It can also reduce the pressure that comes with low-inventory markets, where bidding wars and quick decisions often make it harder for new buyers to compete.
2. Home Price Growth Is Slowing
While affordability is still a challenge in many areas, home prices aren’t rising as quickly as they were in recent years.
Slower price growth can help keep more homes within reach, and in some markets, prices may even be easing enough to bring new neighborhoods back into play.
3. Incomes Are Rising
Wage growth is also helping improve the picture for buyers.
When household income increases, it can offset part of the affordability challenge, even when mortgage rates remain elevated. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains:
“Income growth has outpaced house price growth for 19 straight months, boosting house-buying power even as mortgage rates remain elevated.”
Taken together, these trends are creating better conditions for new buyers in select markets across the country.
What If Your Market Didn’t Make the List?
If your city did not make Zillow’s top 10, or even the top 50, there’s no reason to worry. You’re not out of options.
Opportunities exist in any market. The key is knowing where to look and having the right guidance along the way.
Even within the same metro area, one buyer’s experience can be very different from another’s. A lot depends on local knowledge and strategy. The right real estate agent can help you identify overlooked opportunities, such as:
- Neighborhoods where prices have not climbed as fast.
- Areas with more available inventory.
- New construction communities offering builder incentives.
These kinds of opportunities may not make national headlines, but they can make a meaningful difference when trying to buy your first home.
Bottom Line: More Options for First-Time Home Buyers
For a long time, first-time home buyers have felt stuck, waiting for the market to shift in their favor.
This spring, that may finally be happening in certain markets.
With more inventory, slower price growth, and rising incomes, buying a first home may feel more realistic than it has in years. And even if your market isn’t on Zillow’s list, there may still be neighborhoods or communities nearby offering a better chance to get started.
If you want to find out where those opportunities exist in your local market, connect with a trusted real estate agent who knows where to look.
Is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Right for You? A Homebuyer’s Guide
If you’ve been shopping for a home lately, you’ve likely felt the pressure of today’s affordability challenges. Higher home prices and mortgage rates have made it harder for many buyers to stay within budget. That’s one reason adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, are getting more attention again.
For some homebuyers, an ARM can offer welcome savings upfront. But before you go that route, it’s important to understand how these loans work, why they appeal to certain buyers, and what the long-term risks might be.
What Is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage?
An adjustable-rate mortgage is a home loan that starts with a fixed interest rate for a set number of years. After that initial period ends, the rate can adjust at scheduled intervals based on market conditions.
As Business Insider explains:
“With a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate remains the same for the entire time you have the loan. This keeps your monthly payment the same for years . . . adjustable-rate mortgages work differently. You’ll start off with the same rate for a few years, but after that, your rate can change periodically. This means that if average rates have gone up, your mortgage payment will increase. If they’ve gone down, your payment will decrease.”
That’s the biggest difference between a fixed-rate mortgage and an ARM. A fixed-rate loan offers predictability, while an ARM may give you a lower payment at first but less certainty later.
It’s true that costs like property taxes and homeowners insurance can still change with a fixed-rate mortgage. But the principal and interest portion of the payment generally stays steady. With an ARM, your monthly payment can rise or fall once the fixed period ends.
Why More Home Buyers Are Considering ARMs
The main reason buyers look at adjustable-rate mortgages is simple: lower initial costs.
Business Insider puts it this way:
“Because ARM rates are typically lower than fixed mortgage rates, they can help buyers find affordability when rates are high. With a lower ARM rate, you can get a smaller monthly payment or afford more house than you could with a fixed-rate loan.”
That upfront savings can matter, especially in a market where every dollar counts. Recent reporting from Mortgage News Daily and The Wall Street Journal show that ARM rates have been coming in lower than 30-year fixed mortgage rates.
For many buyers, even modest monthly savings can make a difference. For example, Redfin found that a typical buyer could save about $150 per month by choosing an ARM instead of a 30-year fixed mortgage. Savings like that can help some buyers qualify for a home sooner or make their monthly budget more manageable.
Why Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Are Making a Comeback
More homebuyers are deciding that a lower payment today is worth considering, even if it means taking on more uncertainty later.
Recent reports from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) show that the share of buyers choosing ARMs has increased in recent years. That doesn’t mean ARMs are becoming the right fit for everyone. But, it shows that some buyers are using them as a strategy to deal with affordability challenges in the current market.
For anyone who remembers the 2008 housing crash, this trend may sound concerning at first. But today’s lending environment is very different.
In the past, some borrowers were approved for loans they couldn’t realistically afford once the interest rate adjusted. Today, lending standards are tighter, and lenders generally evaluate whether borrowers could still manage the payment if rates rise. So while ARMs are becoming more common again, that alone doesn’t point to another housing crisis.
The Pros and Risks of an ARM
An adjustable-rate mortgage can make sense in the right situation, but it depends on your financial plan and your comfort with risk.
An ARM may be worth considering if:
- You expect to move before the rate adjusts.
- You believe your income will increase over time.
- You need a lower initial payment to make homeownership possible now.
Still, there are trade-offs to consider.
Once the fixed-rate period ends, your interest rate can change, and your monthly payment could increase significantly depending on where mortgage rates are at that point. There’s also no guarantee rates will fall in the future, which means refinancing later may not be as easy or as beneficial as some buyers hope.
That’s why it’s important to think beyond the introductory rate. Make sure you understand how long the fixed period lasts, how often the rate can adjust, and how much your payment could increase over time. Most importantly, talk through your options with a trusted lender and financial advisor before making a decision.
Bottom Line: Is an ARM Right for You?
Adjustable-rate mortgages are regaining popularity because they can make buying a home more affordable in the short term. For some buyers, that lower upfront payment can be a helpful tool. But an ARM isn’t necessarily the right move for everyone.
The best decision comes down to understanding how the loan works, weighing the risks, and making sure it fits your long-term goals.
If you’re considering an adjustable-rate mortgage yourself but are still on the fence, reach out to us today. We can connect you with a qualified lender in your area who explore your options with you.
Mortgage Rate Volatility: What You Can Control as a Buyer
Mortgage rates have been moving up and down lately, and that can make buying a home feel harder to plan for. When rates are unpredictable, many buyers wonder whether they should wait, move forward, or try to time the market.
Here’s the good news: while you can’t control where mortgage rates go next, you can control several factors that may help you secure a better rate. The first step is understanding what’s driving today’s market and knowing where to focus your time and effort.
Mortgage Rate Volatility Is Normal
Recent data from Freddie Mac show that mortgage rates have been fluctuating. After trending downward for well over a year, rates ticked up again this month.
That kind of movement can feel frustrating, especially when you’re doing your best to budget for a home purchase. But occasional increases and decreases are a normal part of the mortgage market. Even over the past year, there have been periods when rates jumped before settling back down.
This is another one of those moments, and it helps to keep that in mind.
When there’s economic uncertainty or major global events unfolding, mortgage rates often respond quickly. As Investopedia explains:
“Mortgage rates don’t move in isolation. When global events inject uncertainty into financial markets . . . that can ripple through to borrowing . . . mortgage costs can respond quickly to geopolitical developments. As long as uncertainty remains elevated, rate swings may continue.”
That’s exactly why trying to predict the perfect time to buy usually doesn’t pay off. Rates can change fast, and waiting for the market to cooperate may not give you the outcome you want.
Focus on What You Can Control
You may not be able to influence the market, but you can take steps put yourself in a better position as a buyer. If your goal is to get the best mortgage rate possible, these are the areas that matter most.
Your Credit Score
Your credit score is one of the biggest factors that affects the rate you qualify for. In many cases, even a modest improvement in your score can lead to better loan terms and a lower monthly payment.
As Bankrate explains:
“Your credit score is one of the most important factors lenders consider when you apply for a mortgage. Not just to qualify for the loan itself, but for the conditions: Typically, the higher your score, the lower the interest rates and better terms you’ll qualify for.”
That’s why it’s worth taking steps to strengthen your credit before applying for a mortgage. Paying bills on time, reducing outstanding debt, and avoiding new credit inquiries can all help. If you’re not sure where your score stands or what improvements would make the biggest difference, a trusted loan officer can help you create a plan.
Your Loan Type
The type of mortgage you choose also affects your rate. There are many different types of loans, and each comes with different eligibility requirements, benefits, and pricing.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) explains:
“There are several broad categories of mortgage loans, such as conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA loans. Lenders decide which products to offer, and loan types have different eligibility requirements. Rates can be significantly different depending on what loan type you choose.”
This is why exploring your mortgage options is so important. A conventional loan may be the right fit for one buyer, while an FHA, USDA, or VA loan may offer better advantages for another. Comparing programs and speaking with more than one lender can help you understand which path makes the most sense for your financial situation.
Your Loan Term
The length of your loan term matters, too. Most lenders offer 15-year, 20-year, and 30-year mortgage options, and the term you choose can affect both your interest rate and your monthly payment.
Freddie Mac explains it this way:
“When choosing the right home loan for you, it’s important to consider the loan term, which is the length of time it will take you to repay your loan before you fully own your home. Your loan term will affect your interest rate, monthly payment, and the total amount of interest you will pay over the life of the loan.”
A shorter loan term may come with a lower interest rate, but the monthly payment is often higher. A longer term may give you more flexibility in your monthly budget, even if you pay more interest over time. The right choice depends on your goals, your budget, and how long you plan to stay in the home.
Conclusion
If you’re in the market for a home right now, the best strategy is not to focus on trying to predict where mortgage rates will go next.
Instead, focus on what you can control. Improve your credit score, explore different loan types, and choose a loan term that fits your needs. Most importantly, work with a trusted lender who can guide you through your options. If you need help connecting with trustworthy lender, reach out to us today.
Mortgage rates may be out of your hands, but the steps you take to prepare are not. And when you focus on what you can change, you give yourself a much better chance to move forward with confidence.
3 Key Steps for First-Time Home Buyers
Buying your first home is exciting, but it can feel a bit overwhelming. When you’ve never gone through the buying process before, it’s easy to wonder where to start and what to do first.
The good news is that you don’t need to figure out everything out on your own, or all at once. The best approach is to take it all step by step.
If you’re getting ready to buy your first home, here are the three most important steps to focus on first.
1. Build Your Team: Don’t Do It Alone
Buying a home is not a solo project. Having the right professionals on your side can make the entire experience smoother, less stressful, and more successful.
Here are two key people every first-time home buyer should have in place early:
A local real estate agent
A knowledgeable local agent will guide you from your first showing all the way to closing day. They can help you understand the market, explain each step of the process, and make sure you feel confident in the decisions you make.
A trusted lender
A lender will help you explore your mortgage options, estimate your monthly payment, and understand what price range makes sense for your budget. Having that info early helps you shop smarter and avoid unwanted surprises later.
When you have the right team in place, you can find your new home with more clarity and confidence.
2. Prep Your Finances: Build a Strong Foundation
It goes without saying that your finances play a major role in the homebuying process. They affect what you can afford, how competitive your offer may be, and how comfortable you’ll feel once you own the home.
Here are the main financial steps first-time home buyers should take:
Check your credit score
Your credit score can affect the loan programs available to you and the mortgage rate you receive. Checking it early gives you time to improve it if needed.
Save for your down payment and closing costs
Many buyers focus only on the down payment, but closing costs are also an important part of the equation. Saving for both can help reduce last-minute stress.
Research first-time buyer assistance programs
There are programs designed to help first-time home buyers with upfront costs. Depending on where you live and your financial situation, you may qualify for assistance that helps you buy sooner than expected.
Talk to a lender about your mortgage options
Fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA, and conventional loans all work differently. Understanding the pros and cons of each option can help you choose the loan that best fits your needs.
Get pre-approved
A mortgage pre-approval gives you a clearer picture of how much a lender may be willing to lend you. It also helps you set a realistic price range and shows sellers you’re serious when it’s time to make an offer.
Set a realistic monthly budget
Your mortgage payment is only part of the cost of homeownership. You also need to account for utilities, home insurance, maintenance, and everyday living expenses. Setting a realistic budget helps ensure your home feels affordable, not overwhelming.
Being confident in your finances before you start house hunting can help you feel more prepared and better positioned in a competitive market.
3. Gather Your Documents: Save Time and Reduce Stress
Once you’re ready to move forward, your lender will need to verify your income, assets, and financial history. Gathering your documents ahead of time can help speed up the loan process and avoid unnecessary back-and-forth.
Here are some of the most common documents lenders may ask for:
W-2s and tax returns from the past two years
These help verify your income history and show consistency over time.
Recent pay stubs, usually from the last one to two months
These confirm your current income and employment.
Bank statements from the past two to three months
These show your available funds, spending patterns, and where your down payment money is coming from.
Investment account statements from the past two to three months
If investments are part of your financial picture, your lender may want to review them as well.
A copy of your driver’s license
This is used to verify your identity during the loan process.
Your residential history for the past two years
Lenders may request this to confirm your housing background and stability.
Statements for outstanding debts from the past two months
This may include student loans, car loans, and credit cards. These debts help lenders calculate your debt-to-income ratio.
Proof of supplemental income
If you receive bonuses, commissions, freelance income, or child support, you may need documentation to show that income can be counted.
Keep in mind that document requirements and timelines can vary by lender. Still, having these items ready is a smart way to stay organized and avoid potential hiccups.
Conclusion
Buying your first home doesn’t mean you need to have every detail figured out from day one. It just means starting your journey with a plan.
When you gather the right people, prepare your finances, and organize your documentation early, you give yourself a much better chance to buy with confidence.
If you want help understanding any part of the process or are ready to take the first step to homeownership, connect with a trusted real estate agent.
Are Home Prices Dropping? What the Latest Data Show
You’ve probably seen headlines or social posts claiming that home prices are falling. It’s an attention-grabbing message, and it naturally leads to two big questions:
- Is this the start of a crash?
- What does it mean for my home’s value?
Here’s the reality: a few markets are seeing small, normal pullbacks, but this is not a nationwide crash. In most areas, prices are still rising or holding steady, just not at the breakneck pace we saw a few years ago.
Home Prices Are Still Rising Nationally
A lot of online chatter focuses on isolated price drops without mentioning the broader data. Nationally, prices have continued to trend upward, but at a slower rate than usual.
According to a new report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR):
“Home prices continued to rise in the fourth quarter of 2025. National median prices rose 1.2% year over year to $414,900.”
That’s modest growth compared to the peak “boom” years, but it’s still growth. And regionally, the story varies.
At a glance, the numbers show:
- Northeast, Midwest, and South: prices generally up or steady.
- West: more mixed, with some markets seeing mild price declines.
In other words, the market is cooling and normalizing, not crashing.
Why You’re Hearing So Much About Price Drops
Price declines make for clickable headlines. But a few factors can make a local shift look like a national trend:
- High-profile metros go viral. A dip in one major market can dominate the conversation.
- Seasonality is real. Some months are softer than others, even in healthy markets.
- Affordability has cooled demand. Higher payments can reduce competition and push prices to level off.
Those are signs of a market adjusting, not collapsing.
Some Markets Have Softened, But Context Matters
In the places where prices have dipped, it helps to look at the big picture. Many of those markets saw especially strong appreciation over the last several years. When you compare today’s values to where they were five years ago, homeowners in many “down” markets are still up significantly overall.
According to data from ResiClub and Zillow, price dips in the short-term aren’t always the cause for concern they seem to be. The long-term trends tell a clearer story, and they remain strong for many homeowners.
The key point: a pullback after rapid growth is not the same thing as a crash. It’s often a correction toward something more sustainable.
What This Means for Homeowners and Buyers
If you’re a homeowner:
In most markets, you’re not watching value evaporate overnight. Instead:
- You likely still have meaningful equity compared to pre-2020 values.
- Pricing strategy matters more now that buyers aren’t automatically overbidding.
- The best indicator is recent comparable sales in your neighborhood.
If you’re a buyer:
A cooler market can create more breathing room:
- You may see more negotiability in certain areas.
- You may have more time to decide than during the peak frenzy.
- But waiting for a big “crash” could mean missing the right home if your local market is stable.
Real estate is local. The best move depends on your budget, timeline, and the neighborhood you want.
How to Know What’s Happening Where You Live
National headlines can’t tell you what’s happening on your street. To get a clear picture, look at:
- Recent sold prices (comps) for similar homes.
- Days on market and list-to-sale price ratios.
- Inventory levels and new listings.
- Price reductions on comparable listings.
A local real estate agent can help make sense of your market’s unique trends. That way, you know you’re relying on sound information for any decision you make.
Conclusion
Home prices are rising or holding steady in most parts of the country, and a handful of small declines does not equal a nationwide downturn. If you want to know what your home is worth today, review your local numbers with a trusted real estate professional.
Renting vs. Buying: What The Numbers Say
Renting often feels like the simpler move these days. There’s no down payment to save up for, no surprise repair bills, and no long-term commitment if life changes.
But then your lease renews and the rent jumps. Then it happens again. Eventually, what felt flexible suddenly starts to feel expensive, especially when you realize every monthly payment is going to your landlord, not building wealth for you.
A big reason this stings is because there’s been so much talk about how homeownership is “out of reach.” And in some markets, it absolutely can be. But here’s the part that doesn’t get said enough: when you compare the numbers side by side, buying can cost less per month than renting in more places than most people expect.
Buying Can Be More Affordable Than Renting in Many Areas
In a lot of markets today, owning a home may actually have a lower monthly cost than renting a 3-bedroom home. New data from ATTOM suggest this is true in nearly 58% of counties across the United States.
And this comparison isn’t just a mortgage payment versus rent. It also takes into account common ownership costs like insurance and regular maintenance.
So if you’ve assumed buying automatically means a higher monthly bill, it may be worth a second look. Recent changes in home price growth, housing inventory, and mortgage rates have been shaking certain markets. Depending on where you live, buying might be finally in your favor.
Affordability Depends on Where You Live
Even though the national picture has shifted, it doesn’t mean buying is cheaper everywhere, or that every renter will have the same experience.
That “nearly 58%” figure looks very different depending on the region. The biggest improvement is happening in the Midwest and South, while the West can still feel tight for many households.
The key takeaway is simple: real estate is local. A national headline can’t tell you what the rent-versus-buy equation looks like in your zip code. The only way to know is to run the numbers based on your local prices, rents, taxes, and insurance.
What’s Still Holding Buyers Back?
If you’re thinking, “Even if the monthly payment works, I can’t afford the upfront costs,” you’re not alone.
For many renters, the biggest hurdle isn’t the monthly payment. It’s the down payment (and often closing costs) that feels like a wall.
Here’s the good news: there are thousands of down payment assistance programs across the country, and many buyers qualify without realizing it. The average benefit is around $18,000, which can help cover part of your down payment or closing costs.
Support like this can make buying feel a lot more realistic, because it reduces how much cash you need to get in the door.
How to Figure Out What’s Right for You
If you want clarity instead of guesswork, focus on a simple comparison:
- Your current rent (and how often it’s rising).
- An estimated monthly ownership cost (mortgage, taxes, insurance, HOA if applicable).
- A realistic maintenance cushion.
- Upfront costs (and any down payment assistance you may qualify for).
When you combine potential assistance with monthly costs that may be closer than expected, the gap between renting and buying can shrink quickly, or even flip in favor of buying.
Conclusion
The bottom line isn’t that everyone should buy a home as soon as possible.
The idea is that renting isn’t always the cheaper option people assume it is, and buying may be more realistic than it feels once you look at the full picture.
If you’re renting and feel stuck saying “someday”, consider a quick conversation with a local real estate agent or lender. Not a commitment, just a way to see what’s possible and whether it makes sense for you.
Why Did Home Sales Fall in January?
If you saw headlines saying home sales fell sharply in January, it’s understandable to feel uneasy, especially if you’re thinking about selling. But one month of data rarely tells the whole story.
Yes, January home sales declined. In most years, that’s normal. And this particular drop has a lot more to do with seasonality and winter weather than a sudden collapse in buyer demand.
What’s Really Behind the “Home Sales Fell” Headlines
Recent reports from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) show existing home sales dropped about 8.4% month over month. That’s the number making the rounds, and it’s an accurate one.
The key is understanding why it happened:
- January is historically slow for real estate in general
- Fewer people list and tour during the coldest weeks of the year
- Holidays, travel, and weather disruptions often push closings into the next month
So while the percentage sounds dramatic, it doesn’t necessarily signal a weakening market.
Why January Is Often a Slower Month for Home Sales
Seasonality is a consistent pattern in U.S. real estate. In many markets:
- Winter brings fewer new listings
- Buyers move more cautiously due to schedules and weather
- Fewer transactions close, even when demand is still there
Over the past several years, sales have commonly dipped in January and then picked up again in February as the market begins ramping up for spring. In other words, a January slowdown is often a pause, not a trend. You can see this in the graph below, particularly in the green bars showing February sales rebounds:
Home sales often slow in January and rebound quickly in February.
The Bigger Drop This Year: Weather, Not Demand
This year’s decline was steeper than the usual January dip, even with lower mortgage rates. But the likely explanation is simple: disruptive winter weather.
As Realtor.com explains:
“Winter storm Fern, which dumped snow and ice across large swaths of the country, likely disrupted some closings, weighing on the data and making it difficult to pick out the housing market momentum trend from the weather noise.”
According to the original post, 40 states experienced widespread winter weather. In real estate, that matters because bad weather can delay the final steps needed to close, including:
- Inspections
- Appraisals
- Final walk-throughs
- Lender or title timelines
Why “Fewer Sales” Can Really Mean “Later Closings”
One important detail most headlines skip: existing home sales track closings, not contracts.
That means a storm doesn’t have to “kill” a deal to show up in the data. If weather slows the process, many transactions simply move from January into February (or later).
So January’s missing sales are more likely postponed, not lost.
Will Home Sales Pick Back Up?
Despite a slower January, the data still point toward the market gaining traction as spring approaches.
Here are two encouraging points to consider:
- Affordability has improved for seven straight months (according to NAR)
- Buyers in many areas are regaining some negotiating power
That combo can support more activity as the weather improves and the traditional spring season begins.
What If You’re Thinking About Selling?
If you’re a homeowner watching the market, here’s the practical takeaway:
- Don’t overreact to one weather-impacted month
- Expect activity to improve as schedules normalize and temperatures rise
- Focus on what’s happening locally, because conditions vary by city and even neighborhood
A strong strategy right now is to talk with a local agent about:
- Pricing based on current comps
- Likely spring demand in your area
- How quickly homes are moving in your price range
Conclusion
Don’t confuse a winter slowdown with a market wide red flag. January’s decline appears tied to seasonality and storm-related delays, not disappearing demand. As affordability improves and spring approaches, activity can thaw quickly.
Housing Inventory Is Improving in 2026: What That Means for Buyers
After a long stretch of buyers competing for too few homes, housing inventory is finally improving. Over the past year, more listings have come to market, and depending on where you live, that shift can open up your options in a meaningful way.
According to Realtor.com, the number of homes available for sale in January 2026 was the highest it’s been since 2020. That matters because getting closer to pre-pandemic levels signals a gradual return to a more typical market, where buyers aren’t forced to make rushed decisions with limited choices.
That said, inventory is not back to normal everywhere. And even with growth, more listings alone won’t “fix” affordability or fully rebalance the market overnight. But the changes we’ve seen recently can still have a real impact on how competitive it feels to buy.
When Supply Rises, Buyers Gain Breathing Room
In a low-inventory market, the pressure ramps up fast. Buyers often feel like they have to move immediately, waive protections, or offer well above asking just to stay in the running.
More inventory can reduce that intensity. When there are more homes for sale, buyers typically gain:
- More time to tour homes and think through a decision
- More options across neighborhoods, home styles, and price points
- More leverage to negotiate on price, repairs, closing costs, or timelines
In other words, more listings can shift the experience from stressful to manageable, even if the market still leans competitive in certain areas.
A Growing Share of the Country Is Getting Back to Typical Inventory
Inventory growth is not uniform nationwide. Some markets are seeing a stronger rebound, while others are still tight.
According to Lance Lambert, Co-Founder of ResiClub, in January 2025, just a little over one year ago, only 41 of the 200 largest metros were back to normal inventory-wise.
By around the end of the year, almost half (90) of the largest 200 metro areas were back at or above typical levels. That is a big improvement in roughly a year, and the trend is still moving forward.
Why This Matters for Your Local Home Search
If your area is one of the metros where inventory has returned to typical levels, you may notice:
- More new listings each week
- Fewer “must-bid-now” situations
- More realistic negotiations, especially on homes that sit longer
If your market is still below normal, you may still see multiple offers on well-priced homes. The difference is that, nationally, the direction is improving, and more markets are joining that list over time.
Inventory Is Expected to Keep Growing in 2026
Looking ahead, forecasts suggest the number of homes for sale could rise another 10% this year. If that happens, even more markets should move closer to balanced conditions.
That potential growth could push inventory closer to the levels we saw in 2017–2019 by roughly this fall, which would be a huge milestone for buyers. Of course, reaching something closer to “normal” nationally wouldn’t mean every market feels the same. But, it would increase the odds that more buyers in more markets can find a home without feeling boxed in by a lack of choices.
As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com, says:
“. . . housing market conditions are gradually rebalancing after several years of extreme seller advantage. Buyers are beginning to see more options and modest negotiating power as inventory improves . . .”
That is the key takeaway: the market is starting to work with buyers again, not against them.
Conclusion
Inventory may not be fully back to normal everywhere, but it’s moving in the right direction. And some markets, it’s already there.
If you have been waiting for a moment when you have more options and a little breathing room, 2026 is shaping up to be the strongest setup buyers have seen in years.
If you want the latest on inventory in your local market, talk to an agent who can break down inventory trends, pricing, and what that means for your next move. And if you’re not sure where to start, you can always reach out to us at CENTURY 21 Affiliated.
