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3 Things That Aren’t Going To Happen in Today’s Housing Market
There’s no shortage of uncertainty in today’s housing market, and that’s naturally fueling a lot of dramatic headlines. And if you’re trying to buy a home, that kind of noise can make your decision feel a lot more complicated.
In fact, a recent CNBC study asked homebuyers what they’re most concerned about, and the same three topics kept rising to the top:
- Mortgage rates
- The number of homes for sale
- Home prices
The challenge is that much of what people are hearing about these topics is driven by misconceptions, not facts. Let’s separate the headlines from what the data is really showing.
Misconception #1: “I Should Wait Because Mortgage Rates Are Going To Fall Dramatically”
One of the most common ideas circulating on social media is that mortgage rates are about to drop sharply, so waiting to buy is the smarter move.
But is that what experts are expecting?
While mortgage rates have eased a little in recent weeks, forecasts still aren’t predicting any major declines. It’s more likely that rates will stay in the low 6% range this year.
And that’s not a remarkable shift from the rates we’re seeing today:
Obviously, a lot depends on inflation and the broader economy. But based on what we know right now, waiting for a big drop in mortgage rates may not play out the way many buyers hope. As U.S. News explains:
“Mortgage rates aren’t expected to change much over the next several quarters . . .”
And even with rates where they are today, buying a home is already more affordable than it was a year ago. Even if rates don’t drop in the near future, home affordability is better now than a year ago.
Misconception #2: “There Are Too Many Homes for Sale”
You may have heard that housing inventory is rising. Nationally, that’s true: the number of homes for sale is 8% higher than it was at this time last year. But that’s not bad news. In lots of markets, it’s easing the pressure on buyers.
The problem is that some headlines make good news sound like bad news. They focus on the fact that inventory is at its highest level since 2019 or highlight how many new homes builders are adding. That can make it sound like supply is growing too much, too fast.
But the bigger picture tells a different story.
According to new Realtor.com data, even though inventory is up over last year, it’s still nearly 14% lower than it was in the last normal housing market from 2017 to 2019:
And while local conditions vary, only 9 states have more inventory now than they did before the pandemic. That’s a major reason there aren’t enough homes for sale to trigger anything like the 2008 housing crash.
Misconception #3: “Home Prices Are About To Crash”
This is another common headline you’ve probably seen. This misconception comes from the fact that a few metros are actually seeing small price declines. Influencers are pointing to this to claim home prices are crashing. But this is absolutely not true nationally.
In most markets, home prices are still rising, not falling. Here’s why:
- Many homeowners are choosing not to sell to avoid giving up the low mortgage rate they locked in a few years ago. That continues to limit how much inventory can grow.
- Inventory remains below pre-pandemic norms. There still aren’t enough homes for sale to cause a widespread price crash.
- Even in markets with more listings, some sellers are pulling their homes off the market instead of making major price cuts.
Those are three big reasons home prices are not on track for a crash.
And even in the areas seeing small price declines, those drops are nowhere near enough to erase the huge gains most homeowners have built over the past five years:
These drops don’t signal a crash. They show the market settling after a few years of record-breaking spikes in prices.
Bottom Line: Get the Facts on Your Market
The discussions we see online can often exaggerate the negative and ignore the positive, especially in housing. If you want a clearer, truer idea of what’s happening with mortgage rates, housing inventory, and home prices in your market, talk to a trusted real estate professional.
Connect with a local real estate agent so you have an expert who can give you the real story on your local housing market.
Top 10 Best Housing Markets for First-Time Home Buyers This Spring
For many hopeful buyers, purchasing a first home has lately felt less like a goal and more like a long shot.
Not because you weren’t financially responsible. Not because you weren’t ready to make a move. But because, every time you checked the numbers, homeownership still didn’t feel realistic.
That’s why so many first-time buyers have put their plans on hold.
Now, after years of watching from the sidelines, this spring may finally bring new opportunities. Especially in certain housing markets where affordability and inventory are starting to improve.
The 10 Best Markets for First-Time Buyers
Zillow recently released its list of the top 50 metro areas for first-time home buyers this spring, and the top 10 housing markets stand out for good reason.
Here are Zillow’s top 10 best markets for new buyers in 2026:
- Jacksonville, FL
- Birmingham, AL
- San Antonio, TX
- Atlanta, GA
- Houston, TX
- St. Louis, MO
- Detroit, MI
- Raleigh, NC
- Baltimore, MD
- Louisville, KY
In these higher-ranked metros, Zillow says median-income households can afford 68% of all homes currently for sale.
This is a major shift, and one that could give buyers real options in some areas.
Not long ago, many buyers felt lucky to find even a few homes within reach. Today, in some markets, there are finally more realistic options for first-time buyers trying to break into the market.
What Makes These Housing Markets Stand Out?
These markets aren’t becoming more favorable for any single reason. Rather, several smaller trends are beginning to work together.
As Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, explains:
“First-time buyers are finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. Affordability is still a challenge, but rising incomes, stabilizing prices and improving inventory are creating real opportunities in parts of the country. In the strongest markets for first-time buyers, they’ll find more choices, less competition and a clearer path to homeownership than they’ve had in years.”
That shift comes down to three key factors:
1. More Homes Are Coming to Market
According to Realtor.com, housing inventory is up 8.1% compared to last year.
More homes for sale means buyers have more choices. It can also reduce the pressure that comes with low-inventory markets, where bidding wars and quick decisions often make it harder for new buyers to compete.
2. Home Price Growth Is Slowing
While affordability is still a challenge in many areas, home prices aren’t rising as quickly as they were in recent years.
Slower price growth can help keep more homes within reach, and in some markets, prices may even be easing enough to bring new neighborhoods back into play.
3. Incomes Are Rising
Wage growth is also helping improve the picture for buyers.
When household income increases, it can offset part of the affordability challenge, even when mortgage rates remain elevated. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains:
“Income growth has outpaced house price growth for 19 straight months, boosting house-buying power even as mortgage rates remain elevated.”
Taken together, these trends are creating better conditions for new buyers in select markets across the country.
What If Your Market Didn’t Make the List?
If your city did not make Zillow’s top 10, or even the top 50, there’s no reason to worry. You’re not out of options.
Opportunities exist in any market. The key is knowing where to look and having the right guidance along the way.
Even within the same metro area, one buyer’s experience can be very different from another’s. A lot depends on local knowledge and strategy. The right real estate agent can help you identify overlooked opportunities, such as:
- Neighborhoods where prices have not climbed as fast.
- Areas with more available inventory.
- New construction communities offering builder incentives.
These kinds of opportunities may not make national headlines, but they can make a meaningful difference when trying to buy your first home.
Bottom Line: More Options for First-Time Home Buyers
For a long time, first-time home buyers have felt stuck, waiting for the market to shift in their favor.
This spring, that may finally be happening in certain markets.
With more inventory, slower price growth, and rising incomes, buying a first home may feel more realistic than it has in years. And even if your market isn’t on Zillow’s list, there may still be neighborhoods or communities nearby offering a better chance to get started.
If you want to find out where those opportunities exist in your local market, connect with a trusted real estate agent who knows where to look.
Should You Still Buy a Home Right Now? What Buyers Need To Know
Between nonstop economic headlines, global uncertainty, and ongoing concerns about affordability, it’s understandable to wonder whether now is still a smart time to buy a home.
The good news is this: current events may be influencing the housing market, but they have not taken homeownership off the table. For many buyers, the opportunity is still there. It just may require a more thoughtful strategy than it did a few months ago.
Mortgage Rates Have Risen Slightly. Here’s What’s Behind It
After trending downward for much of 2025, mortgage rates have climbed again over the past month. Experts point to a mix of global events and broader economic pressures as key reasons why.
As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American explains:
“Mortgage rates have recently moved higher, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and rising energy costs that are contributing to inflation concerns.”
So what does that mean if you’re thinking about buying a home? Should you wait for conditions to settle before making a move?
Not necessarily.
Your Opportunity To Buy Hasn’t Disappeared
There’s no denying that buying felt a bit more affordable when mortgage rates were closer to 6%. Now that rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, monthly payments are naturally a little higher.
But it helps to take a step back and look at the bigger picture.
For example, if you’re financing a $500,000 home, a rate in the mid-6s could still mean a monthly payment that is roughly $300 lower than what buyers were facing early last year.
That means today’s higher rates have not erased all the progress we’ve seen. In fact, buying a home can still be more affordable than it was just a year ago.
Yes, your payment may have been lower a few weeks ago. But trying to perfectly time the market rarely works in your favor. Conditions can shift quickly, and hindsight always makes past decisions look easier.
Instead of waiting for the “perfect” moment, focus on making the best decision based on your goals, finances, and today’s market conditions.
Expect Mortgage Rate Volatility
One thing buyers should be prepared for is continued movement in mortgage rates.
Rates may keep rising or falling in the weeks and months ahead as new economic reports are released and world events continue to unfold. That kind of uncertainty can feel frustrating, but it’s also part of today’s market.
The truth is, you can’t control what happens with inflation, global events, or mortgage rates next week. What you can control is how prepared you are when the right opportunity comes along.
That preparation can make all the difference.
If You Need To Move, You Still Have Options
For many buyers, the decision to move is not just about market timing. Life keeps moving, even when the market feels unpredictable.
Maybe your family is growing. Maybe you’re relocating for work. Maybe your current home no longer fits your lifestyle or needs. Those reasons still matter, and they may be more important than waiting for rates to change.
Buyers who are moving forward right now are often doing so because their personal situation makes it the right time.
And the good news is there are still strategies that can help make a purchase more manageable.
For example, some buyers are exploring adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) to secure a lower initial rate. That approach is not right for everyone, but it’s one example of how flexibility and planning can create opportunities in today’s market.
A Smart Plan Starts With the Right Experts
In a market like this, having a plan matters more than ever.
Working with a trusted real estate agent and lender can help you:
- Understand what you can realistically afford at today’s rates
- Review financing options, including ARMs and buyer assistance programs
- Stay informed as market conditions shift
- Make confident decisions based on your goals, not just the headlines
The right professionals can help you look beyond the noise and focus on what makes sense for your specific situation.
Conclusion
Uncertainty in the market does not mean you’re out of options.
If you need or want to move, buying a home may still be the right decision. The key is to go in with a solid plan, the right support, and a clear understanding of your financing options.
Homeownership is still possible. You just need the right strategy for today’s market.
Home Affordability Improved in All 50 States: What Buyers Need To Know
For the past few years, affordability has been one of the biggest reasons buyers have put their home search on hold. Maybe you did the same.
At some point, you may have looked at the numbers, saw what a monthly mortgage payment would be, and decided to wait for the market to become more manageable. But there’s encouraging news you may have missed.
Over the past year, housing affordability has improved in all 50 states. Yes, every single one.
That’s according to new research from First American. And while buying a home is still more expensive than what’s historically normal, the affordability pressure many buyers have felt over the last several years is finally starting to ease.
Some Markets Are Seeing Bigger Improvements
One of the most important things to understand is this isn’t limited to one part of the country or just a few select markets. Affordability is improving almost all over the country.
Of course, real estate is always local. Conditions can vary a lot from one state, city, or neighborhood to the next. But overall, the market is becoming more favorable for buyers. In fact, affordability has improved in 48 of the top 50 metros over the past year.
That same research also highlights the top 10 cities seeing the biggest gains in affordability:
Top 10 Cities Where Home Affordability Has Improved the Most
- Miami, FL
- Atlanta, GA
- Seattle, WA
- Denver, CO
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Tampa, FL
- Salt Lake City, UT
- Riverside, CA
- Raleigh, NC
- Las Vegas, NV
If you’re wondering why some markets are improving faster than others, a lot of it comes down to home inventory.
When there are more homes for sale, the market becomes more balanced. This can help improve affordability by giving buyers more negotiating power. With more options available, buyers may have a better chance of finding a home that fits their budget, and they may also be in a stronger position to ask for seller concessions, price reductions, or closing cost assistance.
That can make a bigger difference than many people expect.
What Does This Mean for Buyers?
Home affordability challenges haven’t disappeared altogether, obviously. Buying a home is still a major financial decision, and housing prices remain high in many markets. But the overall nationwide trend is moving in a direction that gives buyers more opportunity than they’ve had in recent years.
As Chen Zhao, Head of Economic Research at Redfin, explains:
“The housing affordability crisis is showing signs of easing. . . opening the door for more Americans to make the jump to homeownership.”
Conclusion
If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines for affordability to improve, this may be the sign you’ve been hoping for. To find out what’s happening in your local market and how much buying power you may have today, connect with a trusted local real estate agent.
Are Home Prices Dropping? What the Latest Data Show
You’ve probably seen headlines or social posts claiming that home prices are falling. It’s an attention-grabbing message, and it naturally leads to two big questions:
- Is this the start of a crash?
- What does it mean for my home’s value?
Here’s the reality: a few markets are seeing small, normal pullbacks, but this is not a nationwide crash. In most areas, prices are still rising or holding steady, just not at the breakneck pace we saw a few years ago.
Home Prices Are Still Rising Nationally
A lot of online chatter focuses on isolated price drops without mentioning the broader data. Nationally, prices have continued to trend upward, but at a slower rate than usual.
According to a new report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR):
“Home prices continued to rise in the fourth quarter of 2025. National median prices rose 1.2% year over year to $414,900.”
That’s modest growth compared to the peak “boom” years, but it’s still growth. And regionally, the story varies.
At a glance, the numbers show:
- Northeast, Midwest, and South: prices generally up or steady.
- West: more mixed, with some markets seeing mild price declines.
In other words, the market is cooling and normalizing, not crashing.
Why You’re Hearing So Much About Price Drops
Price declines make for clickable headlines. But a few factors can make a local shift look like a national trend:
- High-profile metros go viral. A dip in one major market can dominate the conversation.
- Seasonality is real. Some months are softer than others, even in healthy markets.
- Affordability has cooled demand. Higher payments can reduce competition and push prices to level off.
Those are signs of a market adjusting, not collapsing.
Some Markets Have Softened, But Context Matters
In the places where prices have dipped, it helps to look at the big picture. Many of those markets saw especially strong appreciation over the last several years. When you compare today’s values to where they were five years ago, homeowners in many “down” markets are still up significantly overall.
According to data from ResiClub and Zillow, price dips in the short-term aren’t always the cause for concern they seem to be. The long-term trends tell a clearer story, and they remain strong for many homeowners.
The key point: a pullback after rapid growth is not the same thing as a crash. It’s often a correction toward something more sustainable.
What This Means for Homeowners and Buyers
If you’re a homeowner:
In most markets, you’re not watching value evaporate overnight. Instead:
- You likely still have meaningful equity compared to pre-2020 values.
- Pricing strategy matters more now that buyers aren’t automatically overbidding.
- The best indicator is recent comparable sales in your neighborhood.
If you’re a buyer:
A cooler market can create more breathing room:
- You may see more negotiability in certain areas.
- You may have more time to decide than during the peak frenzy.
- But waiting for a big “crash” could mean missing the right home if your local market is stable.
Real estate is local. The best move depends on your budget, timeline, and the neighborhood you want.
How to Know What’s Happening Where You Live
National headlines can’t tell you what’s happening on your street. To get a clear picture, look at:
- Recent sold prices (comps) for similar homes.
- Days on market and list-to-sale price ratios.
- Inventory levels and new listings.
- Price reductions on comparable listings.
A local real estate agent can help make sense of your market’s unique trends. That way, you know you’re relying on sound information for any decision you make.
Conclusion
Home prices are rising or holding steady in most parts of the country, and a handful of small declines does not equal a nationwide downturn. If you want to know what your home is worth today, review your local numbers with a trusted real estate professional.
Renting vs. Buying: What The Numbers Say
Renting often feels like the simpler move these days. There’s no down payment to save up for, no surprise repair bills, and no long-term commitment if life changes.
But then your lease renews and the rent jumps. Then it happens again. Eventually, what felt flexible suddenly starts to feel expensive, especially when you realize every monthly payment is going to your landlord, not building wealth for you.
A big reason this stings is because there’s been so much talk about how homeownership is “out of reach.” And in some markets, it absolutely can be. But here’s the part that doesn’t get said enough: when you compare the numbers side by side, buying can cost less per month than renting in more places than most people expect.
Buying Can Be More Affordable Than Renting in Many Areas
In a lot of markets today, owning a home may actually have a lower monthly cost than renting a 3-bedroom home. New data from ATTOM suggest this is true in nearly 58% of counties across the United States.
And this comparison isn’t just a mortgage payment versus rent. It also takes into account common ownership costs like insurance and regular maintenance.
So if you’ve assumed buying automatically means a higher monthly bill, it may be worth a second look. Recent changes in home price growth, housing inventory, and mortgage rates have been shaking certain markets. Depending on where you live, buying might be finally in your favor.
Affordability Depends on Where You Live
Even though the national picture has shifted, it doesn’t mean buying is cheaper everywhere, or that every renter will have the same experience.
That “nearly 58%” figure looks very different depending on the region. The biggest improvement is happening in the Midwest and South, while the West can still feel tight for many households.
The key takeaway is simple: real estate is local. A national headline can’t tell you what the rent-versus-buy equation looks like in your zip code. The only way to know is to run the numbers based on your local prices, rents, taxes, and insurance.
What’s Still Holding Buyers Back?
If you’re thinking, “Even if the monthly payment works, I can’t afford the upfront costs,” you’re not alone.
For many renters, the biggest hurdle isn’t the monthly payment. It’s the down payment (and often closing costs) that feels like a wall.
Here’s the good news: there are thousands of down payment assistance programs across the country, and many buyers qualify without realizing it. The average benefit is around $18,000, which can help cover part of your down payment or closing costs.
Support like this can make buying feel a lot more realistic, because it reduces how much cash you need to get in the door.
How to Figure Out What’s Right for You
If you want clarity instead of guesswork, focus on a simple comparison:
- Your current rent (and how often it’s rising).
- An estimated monthly ownership cost (mortgage, taxes, insurance, HOA if applicable).
- A realistic maintenance cushion.
- Upfront costs (and any down payment assistance you may qualify for).
When you combine potential assistance with monthly costs that may be closer than expected, the gap between renting and buying can shrink quickly, or even flip in favor of buying.
Conclusion
The bottom line isn’t that everyone should buy a home as soon as possible.
The idea is that renting isn’t always the cheaper option people assume it is, and buying may be more realistic than it feels once you look at the full picture.
If you’re renting and feel stuck saying “someday”, consider a quick conversation with a local real estate agent or lender. Not a commitment, just a way to see what’s possible and whether it makes sense for you.
The Top Ten 2026 Housing Markets for Buyers and Sellers
Whether you’re buying or selling this year and need to know the top housing markets, you’re in luck. Here are two lists for the 2026 housing market, one for sellers and one for buyers. But before you scroll to the lists, keep this in mind:
If you’re planning a move for 2026, the most important takeaway is this: there are many housing markets to look at this year.
Experts agree 2026 is shaping up to be one of the most geographically split housing markets in years. Some areas are leaning toward sellers, while others are finally opening real doors for buyers. Who has the advantage depends almost entirely on where you live. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality, explains it this way:
“Looking ahead to 2026, regional differences will remain pronounced, with demand favoring areas that offer both economic opportunity and relative affordability.”
To show just how divided the landscape is, here’s a look at where sellers may have the upper hand and where first-time buyers may find their opening.
Where Sellers Stand To Win Big in 2026
Zillow identified the following metros as some of the strongest seller markets for 2026, based on buyer demand, pricing momentum, and how quickly homes are expected to sell:
- Hartford, CT
- Buffalo, NY
- New York, NY
- Providence, RI
- San Jose, CA
- Philadelphia, PA
- Boston, MA
- Los Angeles, CA
- Richmond, VA
- Milwaukee, WI
In markets like these, buyers are likely to compete for limited inventory, which can give sellers more leverage.
What sellers can expect in these markets
If you’re a homeowner in a seller-friendly metro, you may see:
- Stronger buyer interest
- Shorter time on market
- Better odds of selling close to (or above) asking price
That doesn’t mean every listing is guaranteed to fly off the shelf. But it does mean sellers who price strategically, prep their home well, and follow a good agent’s guidance can be in a strong position in 2026.
Markets Where There’s More Opportunity for First-Time Buyers
On the other hand, some metros are giving buyers more breathing room, especially first-time buyers who have had the toughest time getting in lately. Realtor.com points to 10 top metros where first-time buyers are expected to enjoy advantages in 2026:
- Rochester, NY
- Harrisburg, PA
- Granite City, IL
- Birmingham, AL
- North Little Rock, AR
- Syracuse, NY
- Baltimore, MD
- St. Louis Park, MN
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Garfield Heights, OH
These housing markets are top contenders thanks to a mix of:
- More affordable home prices
- Better housing availability
- Strong local amenities and economic health
For first-time buyers, that combination matters. It’s often the difference between wishful thinking and a real path to homeownership.
What buyers can expect in these markets
In more buyer-friendly areas, first-time buyers may find:
- Less intense competition
- More room to negotiate
- A clearer path to getting an offer accepted
What Matters More Than Any Top 10 List
Not seeing your city on either list? Don’t worry. This is a snapshot at the national level, not a definitive statement on your local market. These lists simply show how different conditions can be from one metro area to the next.
And remember: you can buy or sell no matter which side your local market favors. All you need is the right strategy for your market’s unique conditions.
Here’s what that can look like:
- Sellers in a more buyer-friendly metro may need to price competitively and focus on strong prep (repairs, staging, and marketing).
- Buyers in a seller-leaning area may still need to come prepared with a clean, compelling offer and a smart plan for competing.
To find out where your market falls and what you should expect, a local expert can help you interpret the trends and build a game plan.
Conclusion
The housing market in 2026 isn’t one-size-fits-all. Local conditions matter more than ever, and knowing whether you’re in a buyer-friendly or seller-friendly area can shape everything from pricing to negotiations.
Whether you’re buying, selling, or just exploring your options, the right strategy (and the right agent) can put you in a strong position this year. If you’re a buyer or seller ready for the next step, search the top housing markets now, or reach out to us for help today.
Good News for Buyers: Home Affordability Improving in 2026
If you’ve felt priced out of the market or stuck waiting on the sidelines, there’s finally some encouraging news:
Buying a home is finally becoming more affordable.
Monthly payments have started to come down thanks lower interest rates, and buyers are starting to feel pricing pressures ease. That doesn’t mean homeownership is suddenly easy for everyone, but after a tough stretch, small improvements are meaningful.
Home Affordability Is Finally Improving
One of the clearest ways to track this change is to look at how much of a household’s income goes toward owning a home.
According to Zillow, housing is typically considered affordable when total housing costs take 30% or less of your monthly income. That includes your mortgage payment, property taxes, insurance, and basic maintenance.
For the past few years, many buyers were well above that mark, which pushed homeownership out of reach for a lot of households. But that’s starting to shift. Zillow research shows it’s taking less of a typical household’s income to buy a home than it did just a few years ago (see graph below):
We’re not all the way back to Zillow’s 30% threshold yet, so affordability is still tight in many markets. But the trend is improving, and that’s a big change from what buyers have been up against.
Why Homebuying Is Becoming More Affordable
Mortgage rates get most of the attention, and yes, rate movement plays a major role in monthly payment size. But it’s not the only reason affordability is improving. Three key trends are working in buyers’ favor right now:
1) Mortgage rates have eased
Rates are near their lowest level in more than three years, which can reduce monthly payments and expand buying power (see graph below):
2) Home price growth has cooled
Home prices aren’t falling nationally, but they’re rising more slowly than they were a few years ago. That matters because slower price growth helps keep purchase prices from jumping as sharply, which can make payments feel more manageable and the overall buying process more predictable.
3) Wages are growing faster than home prices
This is a major factor that often gets overlooked. When incomes rise faster than home prices, buyers can start catching up. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains:
“When income growth exceeds house price growth, house-buying power improves—even if mortgage rates don’t decline meaningfully.”
None of this makes homes “cheap,” but it does help explain why the math is starting to work a bit better than it did even a year ago. In short, some of the forces that curbed affordability are finally easing. As Fleming again explains:
“Affordability remains challenging, but for the first time in several years, the underlying forces are finally aligned toward gradual improvement. Mortgage rates may drift down only slowly, but income growth exceeding house price appreciation will provide a boost to house-buying power — even in a higher-rate world. Affordability won’t snap back overnight, but like a ship finally catching a steady tailwind, it’s now sailing in the right direction.”
Because of these combined shifts, many economists expect affordability to continue improving in 2026.
Where Are Homes Becoming Affordable First?
So how much will affordability improve, and where will it show up first? In some places, the difference could be noticeable. Zillow says some markets are expected to fall back under their affordability threshold (30% of income or less) by the end of the year (see graph below):
But you don’t have to live in one of those specific markets, and you may not have to wait until year-end to see improvement. Many areas are already trending in a better direction.
That’s why your next best step is local: talk to a real estate agent who understands what’s happening in your market. The national headlines don’t always reflect what’s going on neighborhood by neighborhood, and you might be closer to buying than you think.
Conclusion
For the first time in a while, home affordability is easing, and that’s an important shift for buyers.
And because the pace of improvement varies by location, understanding what’s changing locally can make all the difference. If you want to see how these trends are playing out where you live, connect with a local real estate agent to talk through your options.
Mortgage Rates Just Hit a 3-Year Low. Does It Matter in 2026?
If you’ve been watching mortgage rates and waiting for a “better time” to buy, here’s your chance. Rates just dipped below 6% for the first time in more than three years. Even modest rate movement can change what you can afford, how competitive you can be, and whether buying feels realistic again, especially if last year’s higher rates pushed you to the sidelines.
With rates finally easing up into 2026, here’s a fresh take on why lower mortgage rates are still a big deal, plus what to do next if you’re thinking about making a move.
Why Mortgage Rates Impact More Than Just Interest
A mortgage rate isn’t just a number on a lender’s website. It shapes the entire homebuying experience because it affects:
- Your monthly payment
- How much home you can qualify for
- Your comfort level with your budget
- How competitive your offer can be
When rates jump, affordability tightens fast. That’s why many buyers (especially first-time homebuyers) feel the pinch first. When rates ease, the reverse happens: budgets get a little more breathing room, and choices open up.
The “One-Point” Difference That Changes the Math
One of the easiest ways to understand why rate declines matter is to look at a simple example.
When rates are closer to 7%, monthly payments rise sharply. When rates move closer to 6% (or below), payments can drop meaningfully. On a typical loan amount, that can translate into hundreds of dollars per month in savings compared to the higher-rate environment.
That difference can help you:
-
Stretch your budget without stretching your lifestyle
-
Consider more homes in a neighborhood you actually want
-
Keep cash available for repairs, furnishing, or future goals
In practical terms, the change isn’t just “cheaper interest.” It can be the difference between compromising on your wish list and finding a home that fits.
What Lower Rates Can Unlock for Buyers
When borrowing costs come down, three things usually happen for homebuyers:
1) Lower monthly payments
A lower rate can reduce the monthly principal-and-interest payment, which helps many buyers feel more confident about moving forward.
2) More buying power
When the payment drops, you may qualify for more home at the same monthly budget. That can mean a better location, an extra bedroom, or a property that needs fewer updates.
3) Stronger offers without overextending
More budget flexibility can help you compete without taking on a payment that makes you uncomfortable. That matters in markets where inventory is still tight and desirable homes move quickly.
Why This Can Bring More Buyers Off the Sidelines
Rate changes don’t only affect you. They affect everyone who has been waiting, too.
Industry research suggests that when rates sit around certain thresholds, millions more households can afford a median-priced home. In fact, research from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) points to 5.5 million additional households being able to afford the median-priced home when rates are at 6% or below, and it estimates roughly 550,000 of those households could buy within the next 12 to 18 months.
That matters because it signals something important: pent-up demand can return quickly when affordability improves.
If you’re home-searching now (or preparing to), you may be able to act before competition fully ramps back up.
A Quick Reality Check: Rates Aren’t the Only Factor
Lower rates help, but they don’t magically make every home affordable. Your true monthly cost depends on several moving pieces, including:
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Home price
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Local inventory and competition
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Property taxes
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Homeowners insurance (which can vary widely by state and ZIP code)
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HOA dues
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Your down payment and credit profile
That’s why the smartest next step isn’t guessing. It’s running real numbers to figure out what “affordable” looks like for you.
What To Do Next If You’re Considering Buying
If you’ve been waiting for rates to improve, here’s a simple, practical plan:
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Get pre-approved (not just pre-qualified).
Pre-approval gives you a clearer budget and shows sellers you’re serious. -
Calculate your comfortable payment range.
Decide what fits your life, not just what a lender says you can qualify for. -
Compare scenarios with your lender.
Ask for payment examples at different price points, down payments, and rate options. -
Watch inventory in your target neighborhoods.
The best “deal” is the home that works for your needs and your budget.
Conclusion
Mortgage rates easing from last year’s highs isn’t just an attractive headline. For many buyers, it can be the shift that turns “maybe someday” into “this could actually work.”
If you paused your search when rates were higher, it’s worth revisiting your numbers now. A quick conversation with a trusted lender can show what today’s rate environment means for your payment, your buying power, and your options.
If you’re thinking of buying, or need help finding a lender, reach out to us today. We can connect you with local agents and lenders to make your journey as simple as possible.
Expert Forecasts Point to Home Affordability Improving in 2026
If the last few years have felt like a constant tug-of-war between home prices, mortgage rates, and “Can we actually afford this?”, you’re not alone. Affordability has been the biggest obstacle for buyers (and a major source of hesitation for sellers), but the outlook for 2026 is more encouraging than what we’ve seen in a while.
In fact, affordability improved meaningfully in 2025, and many industry forecasts expect that progress to continue through 2026. The reason comes down to three forces shaping the market: mortgage rates, housing inventory, and home price growth.
1) Mortgage Rates: Lower Than the Peak, Likely Steadier in 2026
Mortgage rates have already eased from recent highs by nearly a full percentage point over the past year in some measures, and that matters more than most people realize. Even small rate shifts can change monthly payments, buying power, and which homes feel like realistic options.
What experts expect
Forecasts suggest rates may hover in the low 6% range through 2026, though the exact path depends on the broader economy, the job market, and Federal Reserve policy decisions. The key takeaway: rates are already lower than they were a year ago, which helps restore some breathing room for people planning a move in 2026.
What this means for buyers
- Lower rates can reduce monthly payments
- Improved buying power can make more listings qualify as “within reach”
- You may have more flexibility to negotiate when combined with rising inventory
What this means for sellers
- The market is adjusting to the idea that “rates in the 6s” may be the new normal
- If you need to move, it may be more feasible than it looks, especially if you’re sitting on substantial equity
Experts expect mortgage rates to hover in the low 6s or drop even lower as the economy changes in 2026.
2) Housing Inventory: More Homes for Sale, More Leverage for Buyers
One of the biggest changes in 2025 was inventory finally moving in the right direction. With more homes available, buyers got something they haven’t had in years: options—plus more time to compare those options and negotiate.
Inventory is still expected to grow
After a meaningful rise of about 15% in 2025, forecasts call for continued growth in the supply of homes for sale in 2026 (though likely at a slower pace than the last big jump). Realtor.com economists, for example, project additional gains of about 8.9% in active listings this year.
What this means for buyers
- More choices (and fewer “take it or leave it” situations)
- Greater negotiating power—especially on homes that are priced too aggressively or need updates
What this means for sellers
- Pricing strategy becomes critical. In a market with more options, buyers compare everything.
- Strong presentation (clean, staged, repaired) matters more when competition increases
3) Home Prices: Still Rising Nationally, But at a More Sustainable Pace
Here’s what many headlines miss: increasing inventory tends to reduce upward pressure on prices, but it doesn’t automatically mean prices crash. Most national forecasts expect home prices to keep rising in 2026, just more slowly than the rapid spikes of the recent past. On average, experts predict home price growth of about 1.6% in 2026.
Why slower growth can be good news
More moderate appreciation helps buyers plan and budget with fewer surprises, while still supporting overall market stability.
But location is everything. Some areas may outperform the national average, while others could see flat or slightly declining prices depending on local supply, demand, and employment conditions. If you’re serious about a move, a local real estate agent can help you interpret what’s happening in your neighborhood, not just what’s happening nationally.
Home prices are expected to continue rising in 2026, though at a more moderate rate.
Will More Homes Sell in 2026?
When rates are lower than recent peaks, inventory is improving, and price growth is calmer, you get a healthier affordability equation. That’s why many experts expect more home sales in 2026, as both buyers and sellers find conditions easier to navigate.
As Zillow’s Chief Economist Mischa Fisher notes:
“Buyers are benefiting from more inventory and improved affordability, while sellers are seeing price stability and more consistent demand. Each group should have a bit more breathing room in 2026.”
Increased affordability in 2026 has experts predicting higher home sales over the past two years.
2026 Could Feel More Balanced Than You’ve Seen in Years
Affordability won’t change overnight. But if current forecasts hold, 2026 is shaping up to be a year with:
- More balance between buyers and sellers
- More predictability in pricing
- More flexibility in negotiations
- More opportunity for people who’ve been waiting on the sidelines
If you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2026, the smartest next step is to get hyper-local: understand neighborhood pricing trends, inventory levels, and what buyers are actually paying (and negotiating) right now.
Ready to start but aren’t sure how? Reach out to us today to connect with an expert agent for all the latest info on your local market.
