Real Estate Trends May 21, 2026

New Home Prices Hit a 5-Year Low

If you’ve assumed a newly built home is out of reach, it may be time to take another look.

The median sale price of a newly built home has dropped to its lowest level since 2021, according to the latest United States Census Bureau data. At the same time, many builders are still offering incentives to help attract buyers.

New Home Prices Have Come Down

After climbing sharply during the pandemic years, new home prices have eased. The median sale price of a newly built home is now around $390,000, which is the lowest level in nearly five years.

Line chart showing newly built home prices falling from 2022 peak to 2026 low.

Local markets can vary, but the national trend may work in buyers’ favor, especially in the entry-level price range. According to Zonda, prices in the entry-level new construction segment have dropped about 2.7% over the past 12 months, which is more than any other price tier.

This doesn’t mean every newly built home is suddenly affordable now. But, it does mean that buyers may be seeing some of the best new construction pricing since 2021.

Why Lower New Home Prices Do Not Mean a 2008 Repeat

Lower prices can make some buyers wonder whether the new home market is in trouble. But today’s conditions are very different from 2008.

Builders are being more intentional about how much inventory they bring to market. Instead of letting homes pile up, many are using pricing adjustments and incentives to keep inventory moving.

It’s also important to keep perspective. Even with recent price improvements, new home prices are still higher than pre-pandemic norms. This isn’t a market crash. It’s a builder strategy designed to match today’s buyer demand.

Builders Are Still Offering Buyer Incentives

Lower prices aren’t the only potential advantage for buyers. According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), 60% of builders are currently offering some form of incentive to attract buyers.

Common builder incentives include:

  • Closing cost assistance: Some builders may help cover upfront costs, which can reduce the cash buyers need at closing.
  • Upgrade packages: Builders might include premium finishes, appliance packages, or design features at no additional cost.
  • Mortgage rate buydowns: Some builders might pay to reduce a buyer’s mortgage rate, which can lower the monthly payment.
  • Price cuts: More than one in three builders, or 36%, are cutting prices right now, with reductions averaging around 5% off list price.

Why Builders May Be More Flexible Than Sellers

Many buyers assume builders won’t negotiate on price. But builders often have different motivations than individual homeowners.

A homeowner may decide to take a listing off the market rather than accept a lower price. Meanwhile, builders usually need to sell the homes they’ve already built so they can keep projects moving.

Donut charts showing 36% of builders cutting new home prices with 5% average discounts.

As Joel Berner, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

“. . . many existing-home sellers resort to taking down their listing instead of taking less than their desired price, but builders are more motivated to sell their inventory than owner-occupants . . .”

That doesn’t mean every builder will negotiate the same way. But it does mean buyers should ask about current pricing, incentives, rate buydowns, and available inventory before assuming a new build is outside their budget.

What This Means for Home Buyers

If you’re shopping for a home, newly built homes may deserve a closer look. Between lower new home prices and ongoing builder incentives, some buyers may find opportunities they did not expect.

Before you make a decision, look at the whole picture:

  • The purchase price
  • Builder incentives
  • Closing cost assistance
  • Mortgage rate buydown options
  • Included upgrades
  • Monthly payment estimates
  • Location, commute, and long-term housing needs

A local real estate agent can help you compare new construction homes with existing homes in your market, review builder incentives, and understand what questions to ask before you make a move.

Bottom Line

New home prices have eased, and many builders are still offering incentives to attract buyers. That could give today’s home shoppers more room to explore newly built homes than they’ve had in recent years.

If you’re curious about new construction homes in your area, connect with a local real estate professional to see what’s available and what builder incentives might be offered in your market.

Real Estate Trends May 20, 2026

Record High Mortgage Debt: What Do Buyers Need To Know?

Mortgage debt in the United States has hit a record high, and at first glance, that looks like a warning sign for the housing market.

It’s an attention-grabbing headline for sure. After all, when people hear “record debt,” most think back to the 2008 housing crash and wonder if today’s market is heading in the same direction.

But headlines leave out the real story.

It’s true that mortgage debt is higher than ever. But, so are home values and homeowner equity. When you add in those missing pieces, the real picture becomes much less alarming than you might think.

Mortgage Debt Is High, But So Is Homeowner Wealth

New data from the Federal Reserve says total U.S. mortgage debt is now around $14.4 trillion, and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York  found it was $13.19 trillion at the end of March 2026. Both numbers are record highs, but they’re missing some critical perspective.

Chart showing record high mortgage debt at 14.4 trillion dollars, with homeowner equity higher at 34.1 trillion dollars.

Meanwhile, the total value of U.S. homes is about $47.9 trillion, while homeowners collectively hold roughly $34.1 trillion in equity. In other words, homeowners owe a lot, but they also own a great deal more.

Mortgage debt has peaked, but that alone doesn’t determine the health of the housing market. What matters more is how much equity homeowners have compared to what they owe.

Right now, homeowner equity is more than double the amount of mortgage debt, and near its own historical peak. That’s a very different situation from the years surrounding the 2008 housing crisis.

Why Today’s Housing Market Is Not Like 2008

During the housing crash, many homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth. When home prices fell, they had little to no financial cushion. That caused a wave of serious distress, including short sales and foreclosures.

Today’s market looks very different.

Homeowners have significantly more equity than debt, which gives them options. Even if home prices soften in some areas, many owners still have a substantial financial buffer. They can sell, refinance when conditions improve, or use their equity strategically if needed.

That equity cushion is one of the biggest reasons today’s housing market is on much stronger footing than it was during the last crash.

Many Homeowners Have Little or No Mortgage Debt

The strength of today’s market is even clearer when you look at homeowners individually. Recent data from ATTOM and Census illustrate this point.

Pie chart showing 33.3 million U.S. homes owned free and clear and 22.3 million with more than 50% equity.

Of all owner-occupied homes in the United States, 33.3 million are owned free and clear, meaning there’s no mortgage on the property at all. On top of that, 22.3 million homeowners have more than 50% equity in their homes.

Put those groups together, and nearly two-thirds of homeowners are in an exceptionally strong financial position. Some owe no mortgage debt, and others owe far less than their homes are worth.

Those are the signs of a strong market, not a fragile one.

What About Homeowners With Less Than 50% Equity?

The remaining group includes homeowners with less than 50% equity. But these homeowners aren’t necessarily in trouble.

Many of these homeowners are simply recent buyers. Since equity builds over time through mortgage payments and home price appreciation, newer buyers naturally tend to have less equity than people who have owned their homes for years.

Low equity doesn’t always signal financial stress or threat of foreclosure. Often, it just means someone is a first-time buyer in early homeownership.

The Real Story Behind Record Mortgage Debt

Mortgage debt is a critical piece of the housing market’s health, but it’s only one piece it.

When you also consider record or near-record home values, strong homeowner equity, and the number of people who own their homes outright, there’s far less cause for alarm.

Homeowners today aren’t severely overleveraged the way they were before the 2008 crash. Many have meaningful equity, and most have no mortgage debt at all.

Bottom Line: Strong Equity Balances High Debt

Dramatic headlines about record mortgage debt can make it seem like the housing market is in trouble, but the actual data tell a more reassuring story.

Home values are high. Homeowner equity is strong. And a large share of homeowners are in a stable financial position.

So while mortgage debt has reached a record level, today’s market has a much stronger foundation than recent headlines would suggest.

No matter if you’re thinking about buying, selling, or simply trying to understand what these numbers mean for your local market, talking with a trusted real estate professional can help you learn the real story.

Forecasts May 19, 2026

Are Home Prices Going To Fall? Here’s What Buyers Should Know

One of the biggest questions buyers are asking right now is: Will home prices fall after I buy?

It’s a common concern. Buying a home is a major financial decision, and no one wants to feel like they bought too early, or too late. With headlines pointing to changing prices in some markets, it’s easy to want to play it safe by waiting.

But the short-term noise isn’t the whole story. While some local markets may see temporary dips, the bigger, long-term picture is much different: home prices historically rise over time.

What Housing Market Data Shows

When you look at long-term housing data, one trend becomes clear. Home values have generally moved upward for decades.

Yes, there have been exceptions. The housing crash of 2008 is the most dramatic example. And in some years, certain markets have seen slight declines. But outside of major disruptions, home prices have typically either held steady or increased, and data from Case-Shiller and Biello shows this.

Chart of annual U.S. home price changes from 1956 to 2025, mostly gains with brief red declines in 1990 and 2007 to 2011.

That long-term track record is important for buyers to understand. Real estate is not usually about what happens over the next few weeks or months. It’s about what happens over several years.

Short-term price drops can happen, especially in markets where inventory is rising or buyer demand has cooled. But historically, those dips have proven to be temporary.

Why Home Prices Tend To Rise Over Time

There are several consistent reasons home prices tend to increase in the long run.

People Always Need Homes

Life changes keep the housing market moving. People get married, have children, change jobs, retire, downsize, or relocate to be closer to family. No matter what the market is doing, people always need places to live.

Steady demand like this helps support home values over time.

Housing Supply Is Still Limited

Even though more homes may be available for sale than there were during the tightest years of the market, many areas are still dealing with housing shortages.

When there aren’t enough homes to meet buyer demand, prices tend to stay elevated. Even when demand slows, limited inventory helps prevent dramatic price drops in most markets.

Inflation Plays a Role

Over time, the cost of goods and services tends to rise, and housing is no exception. Land, labor, materials, and construction costs all influence home values.

As the everyday cost of living inflates, home prices naturally move higher too.

What This Means If You’re Thinking About Buying

It’s natural to worry about whether home prices will drop after you buy a home. That concern is especially common among first-time buyers trying to make a smart financial decision.

But what matters most is your own expected timeline.

If you’re planning to buy a home and stay there for several years, short-term market movements matter less. That’s because time gives your home more opportunity to appreciate in value, helping you ride out the kind of ups and downs we’re seeing in some markets.

That’s why many real estate professionals recommend buying only when you expect to stay in the home for at least five years. While there’s no guaranteed timeline, a longer-term approach often gives homeowners a better chance to benefit from rising values.

Real Estate Is Local

Another critical point to remember is that not all housing markets are the same.

Some areas may see home prices soften. Others may continue to rise because demand is strong and inventory remains low. National headlines can give you a general idea of what’s happening, but they don’t always reflect conditions in your specific city, neighborhood, or price range.

That’s why local market insight matters. A trusted real estate agent can help you understand whether prices are rising, flattening, or adjusting in your area.

Don’t Try To Time the Market Perfectly

Trying to buy at the exact bottom of the market is extremely difficult. By the time it’s clear prices have bottomed out, competition may already be increasing again.

Instead of focusing only on timing, focus on whether buying makes sense for your life, your finances, and your long-term goals.

Ask yourself:

  • Can I comfortably afford the monthly mortgage payment?
  • Do I plan to stay in the home for several years?
  • Does buying now support my lifestyle and financial goals?
  • Am I prepared for the responsibilities of homeownership?

If the answer is yes, buying may still make sense, even if prices fluctuate in the short term.

Bottom Line: Most Price Drops Are Temporary

So, are home prices going to fall? In some markets, small short-term declines are possible. Historically though, data shows home prices strongly tend to rise over time.

That’s why buying a home is often considered a long-term investment, not a short-term gamble.

You don’t have to buy before you’re ready. But if homeownership fits your goals and you plan to stay put for a while, today’s market headlines shouldn’t scare you away.

For the most reliable picture, talk with a local real estate agent who can explain what home prices are doing in your area and help you decide whether now is the right time to make a move.

Real Estate Trends May 5, 2026

4 Ways To Make Your Home Offer Stand Out This Spring

If you’re planning to buy a home this spring, you may have more options than buyers have had in recent years. Home inventory has improved in many markets, and some sellers are more willing to negotiate than they were during the peak of the market.

But that doesn’t mean every homebuyer has an easy path forward.

In popular neighborhoods or areas where there still aren’t enough homes for sale, competition can pick up quickly. And spring is traditionally one of the busiest seasons for real estate, as many buyers hope to move before summer or get settled before the next school year begins.

That’s why making a strong, thoughtful offer still matters. Even in a more balanced market, the right strategy can help your offer stand out when you find a home you love.

Why Strong Offers Still Matter This Spring

Spring often brings more buyers into the market. Experts at Zillow and Realtor.com often say it’s one of the busiest times of year to purchase a home.

More activity can mean more competition, especially for homes that are priced well, located in desirable areas, or move-in ready. So while buyers may have more leverage than they did a few years ago, local market conditions still play a major role.

Here are four ways to give your offer an edge this spring.

1. Start with a Strong and Realistic Offer

It’s always tempting to make a low offer and hope the seller negotiates. In some markets, that approach may work. But if a home is getting a lot of attention, starting too low could cause the seller to move on to another buyer.

Instead, focus on making an offer that is competitive, realistic, and aligned with your local market.

As Bankrate explains:

“There is no magic formula for an optimal home offer. Any offer will be heavily dependent on asking price and local market conditions . . . Your real estate agent will know the local market well and can advise what a competitive — but fair — offer will look like in your area.”

A strong offer doesn’t always mean offering far above asking price. Most times, it means understanding the home’s value, the seller’s position, and how quickly similar homes are selling nearby.

2. Strategize for Multiple Competing Offers

If you find a home that checks all the boxes, another buyer likely feels the same way. That’s why it helps to talk with your agent ahead of time about what you’re willing to do if multiple offers come in.

One option your agent may discuss is an escalation clause. Investopedia defines it this way:

“An escalation clause is a way to automatically escalate your bid by a certain dollar amount, up to a certain ceiling, to compete with other bids.”

This strategy can help you stay competitive without going beyond your comfort zone. The key is setting a clear maximum price before emotions take over.

Still, there are potential risks to understand and keep in mind. If the home appraises for less than your offer price, you may need to cover the difference out of pocket. Your agent can help you decide whether an escalation clause makes sense for your budget and your market.

3. Keep Your Offer as Clean as Possible

Price is important, but it isn’t the only thing sellers consider. The terms of your offer can also make a big difference.

A clean offer is one that feels simple, straightforward, and easy for the seller to accept. That may mean limiting unnecessary requests, being thoughtful about contingencies, or avoiding terms that could make the transaction feel complicated.

As Redfin says:

“Sellers tend to want clean, straightforward offers with minimal strings attached. Keep your requests simple and focus on the essentials.”

This means working with your agent to decide which terms matter most and where you may have flexibility. The trick is to strike a balance, making an attractive offer without giving up important protections.

4. Be Flexible When It Helps the Seller

Sometimes the strongest offer is about more than price. In some cases, there are things that matter to the seller beyond simple dollar amount.

As NerdWallet explains:

“As you prepare an offer, you tend to focus on what the seller has (a house) and what you want (their house). But you’ll gain a competitive edge by viewing the transaction from the seller’s eyes: What does the seller want?”

For example, does the seller need extra time to move? Are they hoping for a quick closing? Would a flexible possession date make the offer more appealing?

Your agent can communicate with the seller’s agent to better understand what matters most. When you can align your offer with the seller’s priorities, you may have a big advantage over buyers who only focus on price.

Bottom Line: The Right Offer Strategy Can Help You Win

Today’s housing market may offer buyers more breathing room, but strong offers still matter, especially during the busy spring season.

If you’re getting ready to buy, work with a trusted local real estate agent who understands your market. The right strategy can help you move quickly, make a competitive offer, and feel confident when the right home comes along.

Real Estate Trends April 28, 2026

Do You Need 20% Down? Most First-Time Buyers Pay Less

If you’ve been waiting to buy a home because you think you need a 20% down payment, you’re not alone. According to Google Trends, searches for house down payment information recently reached a new high, which shows just how many buyers are trying to understand what it really takes to get started.

Line chart showing searches for house down payment information reaching a new high in 2026.

The good news is that 20% down can be helpful, but it usually isn’t required. For many first-time homebuyers, the path to homeownership starts with a smaller down payment, the right loan program, and possibly even down payment assistance.

The 20% Down Payment Homebuying Myth

The idea that you must put 20% down to buy a home is one of the most common misconceptions in real estate. It’s easy to see why the myth sticks. A larger down payment can lower your monthly mortgage payment, reduce the amount you finance, and in some cases help you avoid private mortgage insurance.

But that doesn’t mean 20% is the minimum needed to buy a home.

Unless your lender specifically requires it, you may have options that call for far less money upfront. As The Mortgage Reports explains:

“The amount you need to put down will depend on a variety of factors, including the loan type and your financial goals. If you don’t have a large down payment saved up, don’t worry—there are plenty of options available, and you don’t need to put down the traditional 20% . . . many homebuyers are able to secure a home with as little as 3% or even no down payment at all . . .”

For instance, FHA loans allow down payments as low as 3.5%. VA loans and USDA loans may offer zero down payment options for qualified buyers, including eligible Veterans and buyers purchasing in qualifying areas.

Saving for 20% can take longer than many buyers expect. If you’re delaying your plans only because you believe 20% down is a hard requirement, you may be waiting extra long to buy.

What First-Time Homebuyers Are Actually Putting Down

But if most first-time buyers aren’t putting down 20%, what are they putting down?

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median down payment for first-time homebuyers is 10%. That’s half of the 20% many people assume they need.

First-time homebuyer down payment chart comparing the 20% misconception with the 10% median down payment.

This doesn’t mean 10% is the right amount for every buyer. Your ideal down payment depends on your credit, income, loan type, home price, monthly payment goals, and how much cash you want to keep available after closing.

But it does show that first-time buyers are finding ways to purchase without waiting until they have 20% saved. And for some buyers, the number may be even lower depending on the loan program they use.

Down Payment Assistance Could Help You Buy Sooner

There’s another reason the 20% myth can hold buyers back: many people don’t realize how much help may be available.

Down payment assistance programs are designed to help qualified buyers cover part of their upfront costs. These programs may come in the form of grants, forgivable loans, low- or no-interest second loans, tax credits, or other forms of support. Eligibility can vary based on income, location, property type, profession, or whether you complete a homebuyer education course.

Research from Realtor.com found almost 80% of first-time homebuyers qualify for down payment assistance (DPA), but only 13% take advantage.

First-time homebuyer down payment assistance chart showing 80% qualify but only 13% use assistance.

That gap is important. It means many would-be buyers may be leaving valuable assistance on the table simply because they don’t know what programs exist or how to apply.

In the U.S., there are more than 2,600 homeownership programs available, and many provide meaningful financial support. As Down Payment Resource explains:

“With an average benefit of $18,000, down payment assistance (DPA) remains one of the most essential tools for addressing the nation’s affordability challenges. Programs continue to expand in scope, serving a broader range of incomes, property types and borrower needs, including first-generation, military and repeat buyers.”

For some buyers, that kind of assistance could make a major difference. It may help cover part of the down payment, reduce closing costs, or make it easier to keep emergency savings intact after the purchase. In some cases, buyers may even be able to combine multiple programs for additional support.

The Bottom Line: Explore Your Options

Most first-time homebuyers do not put 20% down, and you may not need to either. While saving is important, the real question is whether you know which loan programs and assistance options fit your situation.

Before you rule out buying, connect with a trusted lender and a knowledgeable real estate professional. They can help you understand what you really need to save, what programs you may qualify for, and whether homeownership could be closer than you think.

ForecastsReal Estate Trends April 23, 2026

3 Things That Aren’t Going To Happen in Today’s Housing Market

There’s no shortage of uncertainty in today’s housing market, and that’s naturally fueling a lot of dramatic headlines. And if you’re trying to buy a home, that kind of noise can make your decision feel a lot more complicated.

In fact, a recent CNBC study asked homebuyers what they’re most concerned about, and the same three topics kept rising to the top:

  • Mortgage rates
  • The number of homes for sale
  • Home prices

The challenge is that much of what people are hearing about these topics is driven by misconceptions, not facts. Let’s separate the headlines from what the data is really showing.

Misconception #1: “I Should Wait Because Mortgage Rates Are Going To Fall Dramatically”

One of the most common ideas circulating on social media is that mortgage rates are about to drop sharply, so waiting to buy is the smarter move.

But is that what experts are expecting?

While mortgage rates have eased a little in recent weeks, forecasts still aren’t predicting any major declines. It’s more likely that rates will stay in the low 6% range this year.

And that’s not a remarkable shift from the rates we’re seeing today:

Mortgage rates projections chart for 2026 showing 30-year fixed rates near 6.2%, with forecasts ranging from 5.7% to 6.2% by early 2027.

Obviously, a lot depends on inflation and the broader economy. But based on what we know right now, waiting for a big drop in mortgage rates may not play out the way many buyers hope. As U.S. News explains:

“Mortgage rates aren’t expected to change much over the next several quarters . . .”

And even with rates where they are today, buying a home is already more affordable than it was a year ago. Even if rates don’t drop in the near future, home affordability is better now than a year ago.

Misconception #2: “There Are Too Many Homes for Sale”

You may have heard that housing inventory is rising. Nationally, that’s true: the number of homes for sale is 8% higher than it was at this time last year. But that’s not bad news. In lots of markets, it’s easing the pressure on buyers.

The problem is that some headlines make good news sound like bad news. They focus on the fact that inventory is at its highest level since 2019 or highlight how many new homes builders are adding. That can make it sound like supply is growing too much, too fast.

But the bigger picture tells a different story.

According to new Realtor.com data, even though inventory is up over last year, it’s still nearly 14% lower than it was in the last normal housing market from 2017 to 2019:

Housing inventory chart showing national listings up 8.1% year over year but still 13.8% below 2017 to 2019 levels.

And while local conditions vary, only 9 states have more inventory now than they did before the pandemic. That’s a major reason there aren’t enough homes for sale to trigger anything like the 2008 housing crash.

Misconception #3: “Home Prices Are About To Crash”

This is another common headline you’ve probably seen. This misconception comes from the fact that a few metros are actually seeing small price declines. Influencers are pointing to this to claim home prices are crashing. But this is absolutely not true nationally.

In most markets, home prices are still rising, not falling. Here’s why:

  • Many homeowners are choosing not to sell to avoid giving up the low mortgage rate they locked in a few years ago. That continues to limit how much inventory can grow.
  • Inventory remains below pre-pandemic norms. There still aren’t enough homes for sale to cause a widespread price crash.
  • Even in markets with more listings, some sellers are pulling their homes off the market instead of making major price cuts.

Those are three big reasons home prices are not on track for a crash.

And even in the areas seeing small price declines, those drops are nowhere near enough to erase the huge gains most homeowners have built over the past five years:

Home price chart plotting year over year declines in major metros, showing home values remain 10% to 41% higher than in 2021.

These drops don’t signal a crash. They show the market settling after a few years of record-breaking spikes in prices.

Bottom Line: Get the Facts on Your Market

The discussions we see online can often exaggerate the negative and ignore the positive, especially in housing. If you want a clearer, truer idea of what’s happening with mortgage rates, housing inventory, and home prices in your market, talk to a trusted real estate professional.

Connect with a local real estate agent so you have an expert who can give you the real story on your local housing market.

Real Estate Trends April 21, 2026

Top 10 Best Housing Markets for First-Time Home Buyers This Spring

For many hopeful buyers, purchasing a first home has lately felt less like a goal and more like a long shot.

Not because you weren’t financially responsible. Not because you weren’t ready to make a move. But because, every time you checked the numbers, homeownership still didn’t feel realistic.

That’s why so many first-time buyers have put their plans on hold.

Now, after years of watching from the sidelines, this spring may finally bring new opportunities. Especially in certain housing markets where affordability and inventory are starting to improve.

The 10 Best Markets for First-Time Buyers

Zillow recently released its list of the top 50 metro areas for first-time home buyers this spring, and the top 10 housing markets stand out for good reason.

Chart showing Zillow's top 10 markets for first-time home buyers this spring: Jacksonville, Birmingham, San Antonio, Atlanta, Houston, St. Louis, Detroit, Raleigh, Baltimore, and Louisville.

Here are Zillow’s top 10 best markets for new buyers in 2026:

  1. Jacksonville, FL
  2. Birmingham, AL
  3. San Antonio, TX
  4. Atlanta, GA
  5. Houston, TX
  6. St. Louis, MO
  7. Detroit, MI
  8. Raleigh, NC
  9. Baltimore, MD
  10. Louisville, KY

In these higher-ranked metros, Zillow says median-income households can afford 68% of all homes currently for sale.

This is a major shift, and one that could give buyers real options in some areas.

Not long ago, many buyers felt lucky to find even a few homes within reach. Today, in some markets, there are finally more realistic options for first-time buyers trying to break into the market.

What Makes These Housing Markets Stand Out?

These markets aren’t becoming more favorable for any single reason. Rather, several smaller trends are beginning to work together.

As Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, explains:

“First-time buyers are finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. Affordability is still a challenge, but rising incomes, stabilizing prices and improving inventory are creating real opportunities in parts of the country. In the strongest markets for first-time buyers, they’ll find more choices, less competition and a clearer path to homeownership than they’ve had in years.”

That shift comes down to three key factors:

1. More Homes Are Coming to Market

According to Realtor.com, housing inventory is up 8.1% compared to last year.

More homes for sale means buyers have more choices. It can also reduce the pressure that comes with low-inventory markets, where bidding wars and quick decisions often make it harder for new buyers to compete.

2. Home Price Growth Is Slowing

While affordability is still a challenge in many areas, home prices aren’t rising as quickly as they were in recent years.

Slower price growth can help keep more homes within reach, and in some markets, prices may even be easing enough to bring new neighborhoods back into play.

3. Incomes Are Rising

Wage growth is also helping improve the picture for buyers.

When household income increases, it can offset part of the affordability challenge, even when mortgage rates remain elevated. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains:

“Income growth has outpaced house price growth for 19 straight months, boosting house-buying power even as mortgage rates remain elevated.”

Taken together, these trends are creating better conditions for new buyers in select markets across the country.

What If Your Market Didn’t Make the List?

If your city did not make Zillow’s top 10, or even the top 50, there’s no reason to worry. You’re not out of options.

Opportunities exist in any market. The key is knowing where to look and having the right guidance along the way.

Even within the same metro area, one buyer’s experience can be very different from another’s. A lot depends on local knowledge and strategy. The right real estate agent can help you identify overlooked opportunities, such as:

  • Neighborhoods where prices have not climbed as fast.
  • Areas with more available inventory.
  • New construction communities offering builder incentives.

These kinds of opportunities may not make national headlines, but they can make a meaningful difference when trying to buy your first home.

Bottom Line: More Options for First-Time Home Buyers

For a long time, first-time home buyers have felt stuck, waiting for the market to shift in their favor.

This spring, that may finally be happening in certain markets.

With more inventory, slower price growth, and rising incomes, buying a first home may feel more realistic than it has in years. And even if your market isn’t on Zillow’s list, there may still be neighborhoods or communities nearby offering a better chance to get started.

If you want to find out where those opportunities exist in your local market, connect with a trusted real estate agent who knows where to look.

ForecastsReal Estate Trends April 16, 2026

Is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Right for You? A Homebuyer’s Guide

If you’ve been shopping for a home lately, you’ve likely felt the pressure of today’s affordability challenges. Higher home prices and mortgage rates have made it harder for many buyers to stay within budget. That’s one reason adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, are getting more attention again.

For some homebuyers, an ARM can offer welcome savings upfront. But before you go that route, it’s important to understand how these loans work, why they appeal to certain buyers, and what the long-term risks might be.

What Is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage?

An adjustable-rate mortgage is a home loan that starts with a fixed interest rate for a set number of years. After that initial period ends, the rate can adjust at scheduled intervals based on market conditions.

As Business Insider explains:

With a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate remains the same for the entire time you have the loan. This keeps your monthly payment the same for years . . . adjustable-rate mortgages work differently. You’ll start off with the same rate for a few years, but after that, your rate can change periodically. This means that if average rates have gone up, your mortgage payment will increase. If they’ve gone down, your payment will decrease.”

That’s the biggest difference between a fixed-rate mortgage and an ARM. A fixed-rate loan offers predictability, while an ARM may give you a lower payment at first but less certainty later.

It’s true that costs like property taxes and homeowners insurance can still change with a fixed-rate mortgage. But the principal and interest portion of the payment generally stays steady. With an ARM, your monthly payment can rise or fall once the fixed period ends.

Why More Home Buyers Are Considering ARMs

The main reason buyers look at adjustable-rate mortgages is simple: lower initial costs.

Business Insider puts it this way:

“Because ARM rates are typically lower than fixed mortgage rates, they can help buyers find affordability when rates are high. With a lower ARM rate, you can get a smaller monthly payment or afford more house than you could with a fixed-rate loan.”

That upfront savings can matter, especially in a market where every dollar counts. Recent reporting from Mortgage News Daily and The Wall Street Journal show that ARM rates have been coming in lower than 30-year fixed mortgage rates.

Chart comparing 30-year fixed and 7-year ARM mortgage rates from March 2024 to April 2026 showing ARM rates generally lower.

For many buyers, even modest monthly savings can make a difference. For example, Redfin found that a typical buyer could save about $150 per month by choosing an ARM instead of a 30-year fixed mortgage. Savings like that can help some buyers qualify for a home sooner or make their monthly budget more manageable.

Why Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Are Making a Comeback

More homebuyers are deciding that a lower payment today is worth considering, even if it means taking on more uncertainty later.

Recent reports from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) show that the share of buyers choosing ARMs has increased in recent years. That doesn’t mean ARMs are becoming the right fit for everyone. But, it shows that some buyers are using them as a strategy to deal with affordability challenges in the current market.

Chart showing adjustable-rate mortgage share of mortgage applications rising from 6% in January 2024 to 8.5% in March 2026.

For anyone who remembers the 2008 housing crash, this trend may sound concerning at first. But today’s lending environment is very different.

In the past, some borrowers were approved for loans they couldn’t realistically afford once the interest rate adjusted. Today, lending standards are tighter, and lenders generally evaluate whether borrowers could still manage the payment if rates rise. So while ARMs are becoming more common again, that alone doesn’t point to another housing crisis.

The Pros and Risks of an ARM

An adjustable-rate mortgage can make sense in the right situation, but it depends on your financial plan and your comfort with risk.

An ARM may be worth considering if:

  • You expect to move before the rate adjusts.
  • You believe your income will increase over time.
  • You need a lower initial payment to make homeownership possible now.

Still, there are trade-offs to consider.

Once the fixed-rate period ends, your interest rate can change, and your monthly payment could increase significantly depending on where mortgage rates are at that point. There’s also no guarantee rates will fall in the future, which means refinancing later may not be as easy or as beneficial as some buyers hope.

That’s why it’s important to think beyond the introductory rate. Make sure you understand how long the fixed period lasts, how often the rate can adjust, and how much your payment could increase over time. Most importantly, talk through your options with a trusted lender and financial advisor before making a decision.

Bottom Line: Is an ARM Right for You?

Adjustable-rate mortgages are regaining popularity because they can make buying a home more affordable in the short term. For some buyers, that lower upfront payment can be a helpful tool. But an ARM isn’t necessarily the right move for everyone.

The best decision comes down to understanding how the loan works, weighing the risks, and making sure it fits your long-term goals.

If you’re considering an adjustable-rate mortgage yourself but are still on the fence, reach out to us today. We can connect you with a qualified lender in your area who explore your options with you.

Real Estate Trends April 14, 2026

Should You Still Buy a Home Right Now? What Buyers Need To Know

Between nonstop economic headlines, global uncertainty, and ongoing concerns about affordability, it’s understandable to wonder whether now is still a smart time to buy a home.

The good news is this: current events may be influencing the housing market, but they have not taken homeownership off the table. For many buyers, the opportunity is still there. It just may require a more thoughtful strategy than it did a few months ago.

Mortgage Rates Have Risen Slightly. Here’s What’s Behind It

After trending downward for much of 2025, mortgage rates have climbed again over the past month. Experts point to a mix of global events and broader economic pressures as key reasons why.

As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American explains:

“Mortgage rates have recently moved higher, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and rising energy costs that are contributing to inflation concerns.”

So what does that mean if you’re thinking about buying a home? Should you wait for conditions to settle before making a move?

Not necessarily.

Your Opportunity To Buy Hasn’t Disappeared

There’s no denying that buying felt a bit more affordable when mortgage rates were closer to 6%. Now that rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, monthly payments are naturally a little higher.

But it helps to take a step back and look at the bigger picture.

For example, if you’re financing a $500,000 home, a rate in the mid-6s could still mean a monthly payment that is roughly $300 lower than what buyers were facing early last year.

That means today’s higher rates have not erased all the progress we’ve seen. In fact, buying a home can still be more affordable than it was just a year ago.

Chart showing a $500K mortgage costs $286 less per month at 6.40% in April 2026 than at 7.26% in January 2025.

Yes, your payment may have been lower a few weeks ago. But trying to perfectly time the market rarely works in your favor. Conditions can shift quickly, and hindsight always makes past decisions look easier.

Instead of waiting for the “perfect” moment, focus on making the best decision based on your goals, finances, and today’s market conditions.

Expect Mortgage Rate Volatility

One thing buyers should be prepared for is continued movement in mortgage rates.

Rates may keep rising or falling in the weeks and months ahead as new economic reports are released and world events continue to unfold. That kind of uncertainty can feel frustrating, but it’s also part of today’s market.

The truth is, you can’t control what happens with inflation, global events, or mortgage rates next week. What you can control is how prepared you are when the right opportunity comes along.

That preparation can make all the difference.

If You Need To Move, You Still Have Options

For many buyers, the decision to move is not just about market timing. Life keeps moving, even when the market feels unpredictable.

Maybe your family is growing. Maybe you’re relocating for work. Maybe your current home no longer fits your lifestyle or needs. Those reasons still matter, and they may be more important than waiting for rates to change.

Buyers who are moving forward right now are often doing so because their personal situation makes it the right time.

And the good news is there are still strategies that can help make a purchase more manageable.

For example, some buyers are exploring adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) to secure a lower initial rate. That approach is not right for everyone, but it’s one example of how flexibility and planning can create opportunities in today’s market.

A Smart Plan Starts With the Right Experts

In a market like this, having a plan matters more than ever.

Working with a trusted real estate agent and lender can help you:

  • Understand what you can realistically afford at today’s rates
  • Review financing options, including ARMs and buyer assistance programs
  • Stay informed as market conditions shift
  • Make confident decisions based on your goals, not just the headlines

The right professionals can help you look beyond the noise and focus on what makes sense for your specific situation.

Conclusion

Uncertainty in the market does not mean you’re out of options.

If you need or want to move, buying a home may still be the right decision. The key is to go in with a solid plan, the right support, and a clear understanding of your financing options.

Homeownership is still possible. You just need the right strategy for today’s market.

ForecastsReal Estate Trends April 2, 2026

Mortgage Rate Volatility: What You Can Control as a Buyer

Mortgage rates have been moving up and down lately, and that can make buying a home feel harder to plan for. When rates are unpredictable, many buyers wonder whether they should wait, move forward, or try to time the market.

Here’s the good news: while you can’t control where mortgage rates go next, you can control several factors that may help you secure a better rate. The first step is understanding what’s driving today’s market and knowing where to focus your time and effort.

Mortgage Rate Volatility Is Normal

Recent data from Freddie Mac show that mortgage rates have been fluctuating. After trending downward for well over a year, rates ticked up again this month.

Mortgage rates volatility chart showing 30-year fixed mortgage rates declining through 2025 and early 2026 before a short-term increase in March 2026.

That kind of movement can feel frustrating, especially when you’re doing your best to budget for a home purchase. But occasional increases and decreases are a normal part of the mortgage market. Even over the past year, there have been periods when rates jumped before settling back down.

This is another one of those moments, and it helps to keep that in mind.

When there’s economic uncertainty or major global events unfolding, mortgage rates often respond quickly. As Investopedia explains:

“Mortgage rates don’t move in isolation. When global events inject uncertainty into financial markets . . . that can ripple through to borrowing . . . mortgage costs can respond quickly to geopolitical developments. As long as uncertainty remains elevated, rate swings may continue.”

That’s exactly why trying to predict the perfect time to buy usually doesn’t pay off. Rates can change fast, and waiting for the market to cooperate may not give you the outcome you want.

Focus on What You Can Control

You may not be able to influence the market, but you can take steps put yourself in a better position as a buyer. If your goal is to get the best mortgage rate possible, these are the areas that matter most.

Your Credit Score

Your credit score is one of the biggest factors that affects the rate you qualify for. In many cases, even a modest improvement in your score can lead to better loan terms and a lower monthly payment.

As Bankrate explains:

“Your credit score is one of the most important factors lenders consider when you apply for a mortgage. Not just to qualify for the loan itself, but for the conditions: Typically, the higher your score, the lower the interest rates and better terms you’ll qualify for.”

That’s why it’s worth taking steps to strengthen your credit before applying for a mortgage. Paying bills on time, reducing outstanding debt, and avoiding new credit inquiries can all help. If you’re not sure where your score stands or what improvements would make the biggest difference, a trusted loan officer can help you create a plan.

Your Loan Type

The type of mortgage you choose also affects your rate. There are many different types of loans, and each comes with different eligibility requirements, benefits, and pricing.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) explains:

“There are several broad categories of mortgage loans, such as conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA loans. Lenders decide which products to offer, and loan types have different eligibility requirements. Rates can be significantly different depending on what loan type you choose.”

This is why exploring your mortgage options is so important. A conventional loan may be the right fit for one buyer, while an FHA, USDA, or VA loan may offer better advantages for another. Comparing programs and speaking with more than one lender can help you understand which path makes the most sense for your financial situation.

Your Loan Term

The length of your loan term matters, too. Most lenders offer 15-year, 20-year, and 30-year mortgage options, and the term you choose can  affect both your interest rate and your monthly payment.

Freddie Mac explains it this way:

“When choosing the right home loan for you, it’s important to consider the loan term, which is the length of time it will take you to repay your loan before you fully own your home. Your loan term will affect your interest rate, monthly payment, and the total amount of interest you will pay over the life of the loan.”

A shorter loan term may come with a lower interest rate, but the monthly payment is often higher. A longer term may give you more flexibility in your monthly budget, even if you pay more interest over time. The right choice depends on your goals, your budget, and how long you plan to stay in the home.

Conclusion

If you’re in the market for a home right now, the best strategy is not to focus on trying to predict where mortgage rates will go next.

Instead, focus on what you can control. Improve your credit score, explore different loan types, and choose a loan term that fits your needs. Most importantly, work with a trusted lender who can guide you through your options. If you need help connecting with trustworthy lender, reach out to us today.

Mortgage rates may be out of your hands, but the steps you take to prepare are not. And when you focus on what you can change, you give yourself a much better chance to move forward with confidence.